Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors vs Cal Poly Mustangs Picks & Prediction for Thursday January 15 2026
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The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors travel to face the Cal Poly Mustangs at Mott Athletics Center, with tip-off scheduled for 10:00 PM EST on ESPN+. Hawai’i comes in playing strong basketball on both ends of the floor, while Cal Poly looks to build momentum at home after a road win. Be ready to take on all the college basketball action with our free college basketball picks.
Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors: Defense Leading the Way
Hawai’i enters this matchup with a 12-3 record and has won four of its last five games. The Rainbow Warriors are built around defense and rebounding, making them one of the tougher teams to score against in this matchup.
They are averaging 79.5 points per game while allowing just 63.6 points per game, a strong defensive margin. Hawai’i shoots 47% from the field and controls the glass with 40.4 rebounds per game, helping limit second-chance opportunities.
The Rainbow Warriors also contribute across the stat sheet with 15.1 assists per game, 4.1 blocks, and 6.5 steals, allowing them to disrupt opponents and control tempo.
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Cal Poly Mustangs: Scoring Pace, Defensive Concerns
Cal Poly comes in at 7-11, showing flashes offensively but struggling defensively. The Mustangs have split their last five games and are coming off a solid road win over UC Davis.
Offensively, Cal Poly averages 81.4 points per game, but that production is offset by allowing 85.3 points per game, one of the higher defensive marks in this matchup. They shoot 42% from the field and average 39 rebounds per game, but ball movement remains limited at 12.7 assists per contest.
Defensively, Cal Poly averages 2.2 blocks and 6.5 steals per game, which may not be enough against Hawai’i’s balanced offense and rebounding edge.
Matchup Factors
- Hawai’i allows just 63.6 points per game
- Cal Poly allows 85.3 points per game
- Hawai’i averages 40.4 rebounds per game
- Cal Poly averages 12.7 assists per game
- Hawai’i has won 4 of its last 5 games
Hawai’i vs Cal Poly Prediction
ATS Pick: Hawai’i -6.5 (-115)
Hawai’i’s defensive efficiency and rebounding advantage should control the pace of this game. Cal Poly’s defensive struggles make it difficult to trust them to stay within the number against a disciplined Hawai’i team.
Total Pick: Under 153.5 (-110)
Hawai’i’s defense consistently keeps opponents in check, and their slower, more controlled style contrasts with Cal Poly’s higher-scoring but inefficient offense. This matchup favors a lower-scoring outcome.
Final Score Prediction
Hawai’i 78, Cal Poly 69
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