Idaho Vandals vs Montana Grizzlies Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 11 2026
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The Idaho Vandals face the Montana Grizzlies in the Big Sky Championship Final on Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at Idaho Central Arena in Boise, Idaho. Tip-off is scheduled for 11:30 PM ET with television coverage on ESPN2. Idaho enters the championship matchup as a 1.5-point favorite with the total set at 145.5. The Idaho Vandals moneyline is -130 while the Montana Grizzlies moneyline is +110. Be sure to also check out our free college basketball picks for more insights on today’s college basketball action.
Vandals Riding Tournament Momentum
The Idaho Vandals enter the Big Sky Championship with a 20-14 overall record and a 9-9 conference record. Idaho advanced through the tournament with an 81-68 semifinal victory over Eastern Washington after previously defeating Montana State 78-74 and Sacramento State 68-45. In recent games, Idaho recently won over Eastern Washington 81-68, recently won over Montana State 78-74, recently won over Sacramento State 68-45, recently won over Eastern Washington 85-81, and recently lost to Northern Colorado 76-67.
Idaho averages 78.6 points per game while allowing 72.8 points per contest this season. The Vandals shoot 45% from the field and average 37.3 rebounds per game while contributing 12.9 assists. Defensively they add 2.4 blocks and 5.8 steals per contest, showing balanced production on both ends of the floor.
In the semifinal victory over Eastern Washington, Kolton Mitchell led the Vandals with 26 points while also contributing seven rebounds and three assists. His performance highlighted Idaho’s ability to rely on efficient guard play during the tournament, and his scoring burst gives the Vandals confidence entering the championship matchup. 
Grizzlies Survive Semifinal Battle
The Montana Grizzlies enter the championship game with an 18-15 overall record and a 10-8 conference record. Montana reached the final after defeating Portland State 75-72 in the semifinal and previously knocking off Northern Colorado 95-89 in the quarterfinal. Over the past few games, Montana recently won over Portland State 75-72, recently won over Northern Colorado 95-89, recently lost to Northern Colorado 85-57, recently won over Portland State 74-68, and recently won over Sacramento State 81-73.
Montana averages 77.7 points per game while allowing 74.5 points per contest this season. The Grizzlies shoot an efficient 49% from the field and average 34.6 rebounds along with 15.2 assists per game. Defensively they record 2.4 blocks and 5.7 steals per game, showing steady defensive production.
In the semifinal victory over Portland State, Money Williams delivered an outstanding performance with 32 points on 11-of-18 shooting while Te'Jon Sawyer controlled the boards with nine defensive rebounds. That performance demonstrated Montana’s ability to lean on star power in high-pressure tournament situations.
Idaho Vandals vs Montana Grizzlies Pick
Idaho Vandals vs Montana Grizzlies Spread Pick
- Pick: Idaho Vandals -1.5
Idaho enters this championship matchup with strong momentum after winning three consecutive tournament games and showing efficient scoring throughout the week. Their balanced offensive attack and ability to limit turnovers could be a major advantage in a tight championship environment.
Montana has shown resilience during the tournament, but Idaho’s defensive numbers and overall rebounding advantage give them a slight edge. With Kolton Mitchell coming off a dominant semifinal performance and the Vandals playing confidently on the tournament floor in Boise, Idaho appears positioned to cover the small spread.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vinciletti | +3,530.00 |
| 2 |  Steve Seagrave | +1,500.00 |
| 3 |  Nick Parsons | +951.00 |
| 4 |  Stephen Nover | +743.00 |
| 5 |  Tom Macrina | +196.00 |
Idaho Vandals vs Montana Grizzlies Total Pick
- Pick: Over 145.5
I like the over in this matchup because both teams have shown the ability to score efficiently during the tournament. Idaho is averaging nearly 79 points per game while Montana has been shooting close to 49% from the field this season.
When I look at how both teams performed in the semifinals, it suggests that the offenses are playing with confidence right now. With a championship berth on the line and both teams capable of scoring in the mid-70s or higher, I believe this game pushes past the total.
Final Score Prediction: Idaho Vandals 78, Montana Grizzlies 74
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