Indiana at Kentucky — Picks & Prediction for Saturday, December 13, 2025
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The Indiana Hoosiers travel to Lexington to face the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday, December 13, 2025. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET at Rupp Arena, with coverage on ESPN. Get in on the action with our free college basketball picks.
Indiana Hoosiers Analysis
Indiana is enjoying an explosive offensive season, fueled by its elite 3-point shooting and ball movement, though consistency has wavered against strong competition.
Team Strengths & Stats
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The Hoosiers average around 89.6 points per game while shooting over 50% overall and 37.8% from three. They also dished out 20.9 assists per game, reflecting excellent ball movement.
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Senior guard Lamar Wilkerson just exploded for 44 points and a program record 10 made threes in a 113-72 win over Penn State, showcasing elite perimeter scoring.
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IU’s three-point shooting is among the Big Ten’s best, with the team averaging 11 made threes per game — a strength that can fuel high scoring in rhythm games.
Risks / Challenges
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Their defense — while respectable — has allowed around 62.4 to 66.9 points per game depending on sample, meaning high-scoring games are common.
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Indiana struggled on the road earlier this season and is 0-1 away before this game, leaving questions about hostile environments against athletic teams.
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Inconsistency against top competition showed up in their 87-78 loss to Louisville, where turnovers and defensive lapses were exploited.
Kentucky Wildcats Analysis
Kentucky has a balanced, deep roster with multiple double-figure scorers and a balanced offensive attack, even if their record doesn’t reflect dominant play.
Team Strengths & Stats
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The Wildcats average about 85.5 points per game while shooting efficiently and pulling in 42.1 rebounds per game, indicating physical strength on the glass.
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Senior guard Otega Oweh leads Kentucky with 14.4 points per game and adds rebounding and playmaking, while Denzel Aberdeen, Mouhamed Dioubate, Collin Chandler and Malachi Moreno each average double figures too, giving UK balanced scoring.
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Kentucky’s depth shows, with 11 players averaging at least 16 minutes, and they can sustain scoring even if one line of attack cools off.
Risks / Challenges
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Kentucky’s 6-4 record and losses earlier in the season suggest inconsistency, including defensive issues when rotations lag.
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Their 3-point shooting percentage is lower than Indiana’s, meaning if Indiana heats up from deep this game could turn into a shootout.
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Kentucky has covered spreads inconsistently and their 4-6 ATS record reflects volatility.
Standout Players & Key Matchups
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Indiana:
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Lamar Wilkerson — his elite scoring, especially from 3, gives Indiana a chance to stretch Kentucky’s defense and light up the scoreboard.
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Tayton Conerway & Tucker DeVries — balanced support in playmaking and scoring adds depth behind Wilkerson.
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Kentucky:
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Otega Oweh — lead scorer and versatile threat on both ends.
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Denzel Aberdeen & Collin Chandler — perimeter weapons who need to keep Indiana honest from the arc.
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Malachi Moreno — strong rebounding and interior presence helps limit second chances for Indiana.
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Indiana vs Kentucky Prediction Reasoning
This preview sets up a high-tempo, high-scoring battle. Indiana’s offense has been prolific and capable of lighting up scoreboard in waves, especially from distance. Kentucky’s balanced attack and rebounding prowess give them a way to control pace and tilt possessions in their favor. The best sportsbooks are the best way to go when you are betting on Indiana. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Kentucky with the Onyx Odds promo code. Getting the most out of your bets on Kentucky vs Indiana can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
We will look to fade a Kentucky team that has not looked itself early in the year.
Final Score Projection: Indiana 93, Kentucky 88
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Best Picks
- Indiana ML
- Over 155.5 total points
