Jacksonville Dolphins vs Bellarmine Knights Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 4 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/04/2026, 01:35 AM ET
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The Jacksonville Dolphins and Bellarmine Knights square off on Wednesday, March 4, 2026, at UNF Arena with tip-off set for 12:00 PM ET on ESPN+. This ASUN Conference matchup features two teams with identical 7-11 conference records battling to improve their positioning. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert analysis on today’s slate.

Jacksonville Looking to Build on Recent Success

Jacksonville enters the matchup at 12-19 overall and 7-11 in ASUN play. The Dolphins have shown signs of life recently, winning three of their last five games. They most recently dominated North Florida 85-61 and also picked up a strong 89-85 win over Stetson, though they fell to Austin Peay 65-61 and Florida Gulf Coast 86-84 during that stretch.

Offensively, Jacksonville averages 72.9 points per game while shooting 46% from the field. They do a solid job moving the basketball with 12.0 assists per contest and grab 33.8 rebounds per game. Their balanced scoring attack allows them to stay competitive in most conference games.

Defensively, the Dolphins allow 73.1 points per game, which keeps them in close contests. While they are not dominant rim protectors at 2.9 blocks per game, they limit major breakdowns and rely on steady half-court defense to keep opponents from pulling away.

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Bellarmine Bringing High-Scoring Offense

Bellarmine comes in at 12-18 overall and 7-11 in ASUN play. The Knights have also gone 1-4 in their last five prior to their recent 111-97 win over Austin Peay, snapping a four-game skid that included losses to North Alabama, Eastern Kentucky, Lipscomb, and Austin Peay earlier in February.

The Knights are one of the more explosive offensive teams in the conference, averaging 80.2 points per game while shooting an impressive 52% from the field. They share the ball extremely well, averaging 15.1 assists per game, which helps create high-percentage looks. However, they struggle on the boards, pulling down just 27.9 rebounds per contest.

Defensively, Bellarmine allows 81.6 points per game, one of the higher marks in the league. Their fast pace and offensive focus often lead to high-scoring affairs. If they can maintain their shooting efficiency while tightening up defensively, they are difficult to outscore.

Jacksonville vs Bellarmine Pick

Jacksonville vs Bellarmine Spread Pick

  • Jacksonville Dolphins + Spread (if underdog)

While Bellarmine can light up the scoreboard, their defensive issues make them vulnerable. Jacksonville has been playing more consistent basketball over the last couple of weeks and has shown the ability to win tight games. With a more balanced scoring approach and slightly better defensive metrics, the Dolphins should keep this contest close and have a legitimate shot to win outright.

Jacksonville vs Bellarmine Total Pick

  • Over #

Given Bellarmine’s 80.2 points per game average and their tendency to allow over 80 points per contest, this game sets up as a potential shootout. Jacksonville can score efficiently and should find opportunities against a defense that has struggled all season. I expect both teams to push the pace and produce a high-scoring affair.

Final Score Prediction: Jacksonville 84, Bellarmine 81

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