Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 7, 2026
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The Kansas State Wildcats (10-12, 1-8 Big 12) visit the TCU Horned Frogs (13-9, 3-6 Big 12) on Saturday. Kansas State is coming off a 95-61 home loss to Iowa State, while TCU last played at Colorado and fell 87-61. Find value and direction with our free college basketball picks.
Game Information
- Date: Saturday, February 7
- Time: 2:00 PM ET
- Location: Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX
- TV: TNT
Kansas State Wildcats Preview
Kansas State’s profile is built around scoring punch, but the Wildcats have struggled to get consistent stops at the other end, allowing 80.2 points per game while scoring 81.7. P.J. Haggerty is leading, averaging Kansas State at 23.0 points per game while also topping the team in rebounds (5.4) and assists (4.4), which puts a heavy load on him every night. Nate Johnson adds two-way support, averaging 11.2 points per game and a team-best 1.9 steals, while Abdi Bashir Jr. (13.2 ppg) and David Castillo (11.7 ppg) give the Wildcats additional perimeter scoring threats.
The issue has been controlling games. Kansas State’s turnover volume (12.5 per game) can hurt offensive runs, and when shots don’t fall, transition defense becomes a problem against teams that can convert quickly. Abdi Bashir Jr. is out indefinitely, while Mobi Ikegwuruka and Khamari McGriff are listed as questionable.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 81.7
- Points Allowed: 80.2
- Rebounds: 35.5
- Assists: 18.0
- Steals: 6.8
- Blocks: 3.7
- Turnovers: 12.5
TCU Horned Frogs Preview
TCU has been more stable defensively, holding opponents to 71.5 points per game, and that defense has carried them through Big 12 play even when the offense has been inconsistent. David Punch leads the Horned Frogs, averaging 14.3 points and 7.2 rebounds per game while also pacing the team in blocks (2.2), giving TCU interior scoring and rim protection. Xavier Edmonds (12.0 ppg) and Jayden Pierre (10.5 ppg) provide steady scoring, while Brock Harding is the key organizer at 6.1 assists per game and 1.8 steals per game.
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The plan for TCU is clear: keep this game physical, defend without fouling, and make Kansas State execute in the half-court. TCU’s turnover rate (11.2 per game) must improve, but its ability to string together stops gives it a better chance to create a lead than Kansas State has shown recently. TCU does not have any players on its injury report.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 78.7
- Points Allowed: 71.5
- Rebounds: 35.5
- Assists: 15.9
- Steals: 7.3
- Blocks: 5.0
- Turnovers: 11.2
Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction
Kansas State can score, but TCU’s defense and rim presence will be a difference maker, especially if the Wildcats are short-handed due to injuries. TCU’s defense will make enough stops against a strong K-State offense, and offensively, the Horned Frogs will score enough at home to win another conference outing. Final Score Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs win and cover ATS, 85-74.
Best Picks
- TCU Horned Frogs
- Over
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