Kentucky Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 21, 2026

By: Jake Allman Published 02/21/2026, 01:35 AM ET
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Kentucky heads to Neville Arena for an 8:30 PM ET tip on ESPN in a key SEC matchup. The Wildcats sit at 17-9 overall and 8-5 in conference play, while Auburn is 14-12 and 5-8 in the SEC. DraftKings lists Auburn as a 2.5-point home favorite with a total of 157.5. Kentucky has dropped back-to-back games, while Auburn enters on a five-game losing streak, so both teams are looking to turn things around. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.

Kentucky Preview

Kentucky averages 81.5 points per game and shoots 47% from the field. Otega Oweh leads the Wildcats at 17.4 points per game and is coming off a 28-point effort against Georgia. Kentucky also moves the ball well, averaging 16.0 assists per game, and owns a plus margin in points allowed at 72.7 per contest. Rebounding has been solid at 38.1 per game, with Malachi Moreno pulling down an average of 6.5 boards.

Recent results show Kentucky losing to Georgia and Florida but beating Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Arkansas before that. Those wins over ranked-level SEC competition show the ceiling is still high. Kentucky has also been competitive in tight games, posting a 3-1 record in contests decided by fewer than four points.

Auburn Preview

Auburn scores 84.0 points per game, eighth in the SEC, but allows 79.5. Keyshawn Hall leads the Tigers with 21.0 points per game and shoots 45.6% from the field while hitting 85.2% at the line. Auburn averages 37.1 rebounds and 13.0 assists, so the Tigers rely more on individual scoring than ball movement. Turnovers and shot selection have been issues during this losing streak.

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The Tigers have lost five straight games, including setbacks to Mississippi State, Arkansas, Vanderbilt, Alabama, and Tennessee. During that stretch, Auburn has allowed at least 84 points in four of five games. Shooting has dipped to 42.6% over the last 10 games, and opponents are averaging 80.2 points in that span. Home court has been stronger overall at 9-3, but recent form is tough to ignore.

Auburn vs Kentucky Prediction

The numbers point toward a competitive, high-scoring matchup. Auburn’s offense averages 11.3 more points than Kentucky allows, but Kentucky shoots slightly better from the field than Auburn’s opponents typically do. With the Wildcats healthier and more balanced offensively, grabbing points has value.

Prediction: Kentucky 82, Auburn 79

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Best Picks

  • Kentucky +2.5
  • Over 157.5
  • Kentucky moneyline +130
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