Long Beach State Beach vs Cal State Northridge Matadors Picks and Predictions for Saturday January 17 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/17/2026, 03:31 AM ET
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Long Beach State takes on Cal State Northridge at Premier America Credit Union Arena on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST on ESPN+, with Cal State Northridge -230 on the money line and Long Beach State +190, the total set at 158.5 (over -112, under -108), and the spread Cal State Northridge -5.5 (-112) with Long Beach State +5.5 (-108). Make sure you’re also checking out our free college basketball picks for more plays on tonight’s slate.

Long Beach State’s Recent Form Makes Them Live

Long Beach State comes in at 7-11 and you noted they are 4-1 in their last five.

The Beach average 75.3 points per game and allow 76.8, shooting 46% with 33.4 rebounds and 13.9 assists. They add 2.7 blocks and 7.2 steals.

The key here is that Long Beach State’s defensive activity (7.2 steals) gives them a way to stay competitive, and if their recent form is translating into cleaner offense, +5.5 becomes interesting in a matchup where both teams allow points.

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Cal State Northridge’s Size and Glass Can Take Over

Cal State Northridge enters at 11-8 and you noted they are 3-2 in their last five.

The Matadors are scoring 81.1 points per game while allowing 79.3, shooting 45% with a big 41.7 rebounds per game. They also average 16.7 assists, 2.5 blocks, and 7.1 steals.

The stat that matters most is 41.7 rebounds per game, because that suggests Northridge can win the possession battle. If they control the glass, Long Beach State’s path to an upset gets much narrower.

Long Beach State Beach vs Cal State Northridge Matadors Pick

Long Beach State Beach vs Cal State Northridge Matadors Pick

  • Pick: Long Beach State +5.5 (-108)

I’m taking the points because Long Beach State’s overall profile isn’t far off Northridge in terms of shooting (46% vs 45%) and defensive activity (7.2 steals vs 7.1). Northridge has the rebounding edge, but with Long Beach State coming in hot (4-1 last five), I like the cushion in a matchup that can easily turn into a possession-for-possession game.

Long Beach State Beach vs Cal State Northridge Matadors Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 158.5 (-112)

I’m on the over because both teams allow a lot—Long Beach State gives up 76.8 and Northridge allows 79.3—while Northridge scores 81.1 per game. With both sides capable of getting into the mid-to-high 70s, the total is reachable, especially if rebounds and steals create extra possessions.

Final Score Prediction: Cal State Northridge 82, Long Beach State 78

How To Bet This Matchup

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