Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Pacific Tigers Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Loyola Marymount heads to Stockton for a late West Coast Conference matchup against Pacific at the Alex G. Spanos Center, with the tip-off set for 11:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Pacific enters at 16-10 overall and 7-6 in WCC play, while Loyola Marymount sits at 13-13 and 4-9 in conference action. ESPN’s matchup predictor leans heavily toward the home side, giving the Tigers a 67.1 percent win probability. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.
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Loyola Marymount Preview
Loyola Marymount comes in playing its best basketball of the past two weeks, winning two straight games and three of the last five overall. The Lions just handled San Diego 83-63 and followed that with an 84-75 road win at San Francisco, showing improved shot selection and ball movement. On the season, Loyola Marymount averages 75.2 points per game while shooting 46 percent from the field, numbers that keep the Lions competitive.
That recent momentum has been inconsistent away from home, which remains a major concern. Loyola Marymount is only 4-9 in WCC games and has struggled in close finishes, going 1-3 in games decided by three points or fewer. Rodney Brown Jr. leads the Lions at 14.2 points per game and hits 2.9 three-pointers per contest, but the offense can stagnate when perimeter looks are taken away. Rebounding is also an issue, with Loyola Marymount averaging just 35.0 boards per game.
Pacific Preview
Pacific has been far steadier at home, posting a dominant 10-1 record at the Spanos Center this season. The Tigers average 75.0 points per game and allow just 68.3, one of the strongest defensive profiles in the WCC. Pacific also shoots 48 percent from the field and holds opponents to 41.6 percent shooting, creating a consistent efficiency edge on both ends.
Elias Ralph anchors the Tigers offensively with 16.3 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, while Jalen Shelley adds 14.0 points and strong interior activity. Pacific has won three of its last five games and is coming off a convincing 92-59 road win at Pepperdine. When Pacific controls tempo and limits second-chance opportunities, the Tigers usually dictate outcomes, especially at home. 
Pacific vs Loyola Marymount Prediction
Pacific’s home play and defensive numbers point to a controlled win in this matchup. Loyola Marymount’s recent surge deserves respect, but the Lions’ road struggles and rebounding problems are tough obstacles here. The projected outcome favors Pacific wearing down the visitors late and pulling away.
Best Picks: Pacific moneyline is the safest angle given the home dominance and matchup edge. A lean toward Pacific by a final score of around 78-68 fits the statistical profiles and recent trends for both teams.
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