Massachusetts Minutemen vs Miami (OH) RedHawks Picks and Predictions for Thursday March 12 2026

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The Massachusetts Minutemen face the Miami (OH) RedHawks in the MAC Championship Quarterfinal on Thursday, March 12, 2026 at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Tip-off is scheduled for 11:00 AM ET with television coverage on ESPN+. Miami (OH) enters the matchup as a 7.5-point favorite with the total set at 166.5, and the moneylines were off at the time of this writing. Be sure to also check out our free college basketball picks for additional insights on today’s college basketball action.

Minutemen Looking to Shock the Tournament Favorite

The Massachusetts Minutemen enter this MAC quarterfinal matchup with a 16-15 overall record and a 7-11 mark in conference play. Massachusetts has struggled to find consistency lately, recently won over Ohio 94-82, recently lost to Bowling Green 81-62, recently lost to Ball State 74-73 in overtime, recently lost to Buffalo 86-82 in overtime, and recently lost to Miami (OH) 86-77.

Massachusetts averages 80.5 points per game while allowing 77.5 points per contest this season. The Minutemen shoot 47% from the field and average 37.4 rebounds along with 17.4 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 2.2 blocks and 6.6 steals per contest.

One of the biggest strengths for Massachusetts has been their ball movement. Averaging over 17 assists per game shows their ability to create offensive opportunities through passing, which could help them keep pace in a high scoring matchup.

RedHawks Enter Tournament Undefeated

The Miami (OH) RedHawks come into the MAC tournament with a remarkable 31-0 overall record and an 18-0 record in conference play. Miami has been dominant all season and continues to roll through opponents, recently won over Ohio 110-108 in overtime, recently won over Toledo 74-72, recently won over Western Michigan 69-67, recently won over Eastern Michigan 74-64, and recently won over Bowling Green 91-77.

Miami (OH) averages an impressive 90.9 points per game while allowing 74.9 points per contest. The RedHawks shoot an outstanding 53% from the field and average 35.8 rebounds per game. They also move the ball efficiently with 16.0 assists per contest while adding 3.4 blocks and 7.5 steals defensively.

The biggest advantage for Miami has been their offensive efficiency. Scoring over 90 points per game while shooting 53% from the field makes them one of the most dangerous offensive teams in the conference.

Massachusetts Minutemen vs Miami (OH) RedHawks Pick

Massachusetts Minutemen vs Miami (OH) RedHawks Pick

• Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks -7.5

Miami (OH) has been the most dominant team in the MAC this season, and their undefeated record highlights just how consistent they have been. Their offensive efficiency and scoring ability give them a major advantage in this matchup.

Massachusetts has shown they can score, but their recent losses and defensive numbers suggest they may struggle to slow down Miami’s explosive offense. With the RedHawks shooting over 53% from the field, they appear well positioned to cover the spread.

Massachusetts Minutemen vs Miami (OH) RedHawks Total Pick

• Pick: Over 166.5

I believe this game has strong potential to turn into a high scoring tournament matchup. Miami averages more than 90 points per game and tends to push the pace against most opponents.

Massachusetts also averages over 80 points per game, which should help contribute to the scoring pace. When I combine both teams’ offensive numbers, I see a game that could easily move past the total.

Final Score Prediction: Miami (OH) RedHawks 92, Massachusetts Minutemen 82

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