Massachusetts Minutemen vs Toledo Rockets Picks and Prediction for Friday March 13 2026
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The Massachusetts Minutemen face the Toledo Rockets in the MAC Championship Semifinal on Friday, March 13, 2026, at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00 PM ET with television coverage on CBSSN. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting insights.
Massachusetts Riding Confidence After Upset Win
Massachusetts enters the MAC Championship Semifinal with a 17-15 overall record and a 7-11 mark in MAC play. The Minutemen advanced to this round after recently winning over Miami (OH) 87-83 in the tournament quarterfinal. Over their last five games, Massachusetts has recently won over Miami (OH) and Ohio while recently losing to Bowling Green, Ball State in overtime, and Buffalo in overtime.
On the season, Massachusetts averages 80.5 points per game while allowing 77.7 points per contest. The Minutemen shoot 47% from the field and average 37.4 rebounds and 17.4 assists per game. Defensively, Massachusetts contributes 2.2 blocks and 6.6 steals per game while attempting to pressure opponents and create transition opportunities.
In the quarterfinal victory over Miami (OH), Leonardo Bettiol led the Minutemen with 25 points while also leading the team with eight rebounds. Massachusetts shot an impressive 52% from the field and dominated the glass with a 41-24 rebounding advantage. The Minutemen will now face a short turnaround after that emotional win, but if Bettiol continues to control the interior and the team maintains that rebounding edge, they could remain competitive in this semifinal matchup.
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Toledo Hoping to Continue Balanced Play
Toledo enters the MAC Championship Semifinal with an 18-14 overall record and an 11-7 mark in conference play. The Rockets advanced after recently winning over Bowling Green 77-76 in the quarterfinal round. Over their last five games, Toledo has recently won over Bowling Green, Buffalo, Ohio, and Northern Illinois while recently losing to Miami (OH).
On the season, Toledo averages 81.5 points per game while allowing 76.8 points per contest. The Rockets shoot 49% from the field and average 34.1 rebounds and 16.1 assists per game. Defensively, Toledo contributes 3.0 blocks and 7.7 steals per contest while often relying on offensive efficiency and ball movement to outscore opponents.
In the narrow win over Bowling Green, Leroy Blyden Jr. led the Rockets with 23 points while Sonny Wilson pulled down seven rebounds to lead the team on the boards. Toledo shot 51% from the field and 50% from three-point range in that game, showing their ability to score efficiently even in tight tournament situations.
Massachusetts vs Toledo Pick
Massachusetts vs Toledo Spread Pick
- Pick: Toledo Moneyline
Toledo enters this matchup with a slight advantage in offensive efficiency and shooting percentage, which could make a difference in a competitive semifinal. While Massachusetts is coming off an impressive win over Miami (OH), the Minutemen now face a quick turnaround after a physically demanding game. Toledo’s ability to shoot efficiently from the field and spread the floor offensively gives the Rockets the edge to secure the win.
Massachusetts vs Toledo Total Pick
- Pick: Over 155.5
I like the over in this matchup because both teams have proven capable of scoring at a high level. Massachusetts just scored 87 points in its quarterfinal win, while Toledo averages over 81 points per game and shot over 50% from the field in its last outing. With both teams comfortable pushing the pace and relying on offensive production, this matchup has a strong chance to turn into a high-scoring semifinal.
Final Score Prediction: Toledo 84, Massachusetts 79
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