Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls, Picks and Prediction for Thursday, February 19, 2026
The Memphis Tigers (12-13) travel to Tampa, FL to take on the South Florida Bulls (18-8) on Thursday, February 19, 2026 at Yuengling Center. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
Memphis Tigers Analysis
Memphis comes into this game averaging about 75 points per game and scoring efficiently in spurts, but its defense has allowed roughly 72.6 PPG this season. The Tigers’ offense is paced by Dug McDaniel, who averages 12.8 PPG and shoots efficiently from the free throw line. Memphis rebounds around 37.4 RPG and distributes the ball with about 14.1 assists per game.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 75
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FG%: 44%
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Rebounds: 37.4 RPG
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Assists: 14.1 APG
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Points Allowed: 72.6
Strengths
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Dug McDaniel (G): Team leader at 12.8 PPG and efficient from the free-throw line; steady presence in scoring and minutes.
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Balanced offense: Memphis has multiple scoring options and has shown it can light up the scoreboard (92-65 vs FAU).
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Recent wins: Memphis has notable wins, including a 90-80 win at UAB.
Weaknesses
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Road struggles: Memphis is 2-8 away from home this season
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Turnovers: Memphis must limit careless possessions to avoid extra opportunities for South Florida.
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Defensive consistency: Allowing nearly 73 PPG keeps them in tight games but often leads to high-pace contests.
South Florida Bulls Analysis
South Florida has been one of the more explosive offensive teams in the American, scoring around 90 points per game, while allowing roughly 79.2 PPG on defense. The Bulls also handle the ball well, averaging about 17 assists per game, and they rebound a strong 42.7 per contest, giving them an edge on the glass and creating extra possessions.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 90
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FG%: 44%
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Rebounds: 43 RPG
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Assists: 17 APG
Strengths
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High-octane offense: USF’s scoring output is one of the best in the AAC and pressures defenses to keep pace.
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Assists and ball movement: The Bulls share the ball well, creating open looks and efficient offense.
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Rebounding edge: With over 42 rebounds per game, USF continually generates second-chance points.
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Home court confidence: The Bulls have a strong home record and aim to protect the Yuengling Center.
Weaknesses
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Defense: Allowing nearly 80 points per game means they must maintain offensive rhythm to stay competitive.
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Turnovers: With a higher turnover average, USF must protect the ball to sustain scoring runs.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
Memphis
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Dug McDaniel: Leading scorer and free-throw specialist; must be efficient offensively.
South Florida
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Efficient scorers: USF features multiple offensive threats and balanced scoring that keeps defenses honest.
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Rebounding: Bulls’ rebounding advantage will challenge Memphis’s ability to limit second-chance points.
Memphis vs South Florida Prediction Reasoning
South Florida’s elite rebounding and high-powered offense give them a clear edge in this matchup, especially at home where they have been one of the league’s best. Memphis is dangerous with balanced scoring and has quality wins this season, but its struggles on the road and USF’s offense likely tilt the game toward the Bulls.
Expect a fast-paced first half and a defensive adjustment from Memphis later, but the Bulls’ sustained scoring and home crowd should make the difference.
Final Score Projection:
South Florida 87, Memphis 79
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Best Picks
- Memphis +8.5
- Over 158.5 total points
