Miami (OH) Redhawks vs SMU Mustangs Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 18 2026
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The Miami (OH) Redhawks and SMU Mustangs will square off at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio, on Wednesday, March 18, 2026, with tip-off scheduled for 9:15 PM on truTV. SMU enters this matchup as a -310 favorite on the moneyline, while Miami (OH) comes in at +250. The total is set at 164.5, with SMU favored by 6.5 points. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert insights and daily plays.
Redhawks Bring Elite Record and Offense
Miami (OH) comes into this game with an outstanding 31-1 record and has been strong away from home throughout the season. Despite a recent loss to UMass, they have wins over Ohio, Toledo, Western Michigan, and Eastern Michigan in their last five games, showing their ability to consistently find ways to win close contests.
The Redhawks boast one of the most explosive offenses in the country, averaging 90.7 points per game while shooting an impressive 52% from the field. They also contribute across the board with 35.5 rebounds and 16.1 assists per game, demonstrating both efficiency and ball movement.
What truly stands out about Miami (OH) is their offensive firepower. They can score in bunches and push the pace, making them a dangerous team regardless of opponent. Their ability to shoot efficiently and generate scoring opportunities in transition gives them a clear edge in high-tempo matchups.
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Mustangs Lean on Balanced Attack
SMU enters this contest at 20-13 and has been solid at home, though their recent form has been inconsistent. They have recently lost to Louisville, Florida State, Miami, and Stanford, with their lone win in that stretch coming against Syracuse.
The Mustangs average 84.2 points per game while allowing 77.6, and they shoot 49% from the field. They also rebound well at 37.7 per game and distribute the ball effectively with 16.9 assists per contest, showing a balanced offensive approach.
SMU’s strength lies in their physicality and rebounding advantage. They can control the glass and create second-chance opportunities, which will be important in a fast-paced game. However, their defensive inconsistencies could be a concern against a high-powered offense like Miami (OH).
Miami (OH) vs SMU Prediction
Miami (OH) vs SMU Pick
- Miami (OH) +6.5
Miami (OH) has been one of the most consistent and explosive teams all season, and getting them with points here provides strong value. Their offensive efficiency and ability to score at a high level should allow them to keep this game close, even against a solid SMU squad. With SMU struggling in recent games, Miami (OH) is in a good position to cover.
Miami (OH) vs SMU Total Pick
- Over 164.5
I like the over in this matchup because both teams play at a fast pace and have shown the ability to score efficiently. Miami (OH) in particular can push the tempo and put up points quickly, and SMU has enough offensive talent to keep up. With limited defensive consistency on both sides, this game should turn into a high-scoring contest.
Final Score Prediction: SMU 88, Miami (OH) 84
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