Miami (OH) vs Wright State Picks & Predictions for Tuesday, December 16, 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/16/2025, 02:20 AM ET
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This in-state Ohio matchup features one of the hottest teams in the country traveling to a tough Horizon League venue. Miami (OH) puts its perfect record on the line at the Nutter Center against a Wright State team that is far more dangerous at home than its overall record suggests. For bettors looking for free college basketball picks, this game is a classic test of elite efficiency versus home-court resilience.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Preview

Miami (OH) enters this matchup at a pristine 10–0 overall and 3–0 on the road, and the numbers fully support the undefeated record. The RedHawks are scoring 93.2 points per game, one of the highest marks in the nation, while allowing just 69.0 points per contest. That balance on both ends has made them extremely difficult to slow down, regardless of venue.

Offensively, Miami (OH) is exceptionally efficient, shooting 53% from the field and consistently generating high-quality looks through ball movement. They average 17.6 assists per game, a reflection of how well they play together. Evan Ipsaro leads the way with 15.1 points per game on a blistering 59.5% shooting, and he’s far from the only scoring option. Miami can beat teams inside, on the perimeter, and in transition, making defensive game-planning a nightmare.

Defensively, the RedHawks don’t rely solely on pressure. They play controlled defense, limit fouling, and force opponents into tough half-court possessions. Even when games tighten up—as seen in their overtime win at UNC Asheville—Miami (OH) has shown poise and composure. That maturity is a big reason they’ve handled road environments so well this season.

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Wright State Raiders Preview

Wright State comes in at 5–6 overall and 3–1 at home, and while the record may not jump off the page, this is a team that plays much better basketball at the Nutter Center. The Raiders average 78.5 points per game while allowing just 66.9 points, and defensively they’ve been solid against comparable competition.

The offense runs through Michael Cooper, who leads the team with 15.3 points per game and provides a steady inside presence. Wright State shoots 49% from the field, which helps them stay competitive even when they’re not pushing pace. They’re also active defensively, averaging 9.5 steals and 4.4 blocks per game, allowing them to disrupt opponents and generate extra possessions.

However, consistency has been an issue. Wright State has struggled to close games against higher-level opponents, as seen in narrow losses to Marshall and Youngstown State. Against a team as efficient as Miami (OH), any prolonged scoring droughts or defensive lapses could quickly turn into a double-digit deficit.

Matchup Breakdown & Key Factors

The key question in this matchup is whether Wright State can slow the tempo enough to keep Miami (OH) out of rhythm. Miami thrives when games open up, and their shooting efficiency punishes teams that fail to get back in transition or rotate cleanly in the half court.

Wright State’s home-court advantage matters, but Miami’s road résumé suggests they’re well-equipped to handle it. The RedHawks’ ability to score efficiently without forcing shots gives them a significant edge, especially late in games where execution becomes critical.

Picks & Final Score Prediction

Wright State should be competitive early, feeding off the home crowd and physical play, but Miami (OH)’s depth, shooting efficiency, and composure are likely to take over as the game progresses. The RedHawks don’t beat themselves, and that’s usually enough to separate them from teams that rely heavily on home momentum. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Miami (OH) with the Thrillz promo code. Make the most of your bets on Wright State by using the sportsbook promos.  Make sure when you place your Miami (OH) vs Wright State bet you are using the bet365 bonus code.

Final Score Prediction: Miami (OH) 86, Wright State 78

Best Pick Lean: Miami (OH) to win the game outright. If the spread is modest, the RedHawks remain the preferred side due to their offensive efficiency and strong road form.

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