Miami vs Florida Picks and Prediction for Sunday, November 16, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 11/16/2025, 12:30 AM ET
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Miami and Florida meet in Jacksonville at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday in a matchup that features two strong early-season offenses. Miami enters at 3-0 with three blowout wins behind solid scoring. Florida comes in at 2-1 with a narrow win over rival Florida State and plenty of newly established scoring options. Big board, bigger value — see our winning college basketball predictions.

Miami Preview

The Hurricanes have been rolling through their schedule with an average of 96.3 points per game. Malik Reneau has been the driving force at 21.3 points per game on 63.9 percent shooting along with averaging six rebounds per game. The backcourt has been solid with Tre Donaldson adding 16.3 points and six assists, while Tru Washington has been steady on the wing at 14.0 points and three steals per game. Miami’s overall shooting is impressive with a team field goal percentage of 56.9 percent and 35.2 percent from deep, while also winning the glass by a healthy margin, averaging 41.3 rebounds per game. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on Miami.

Florida Preview

Across the floor, the Gators arrive with high expectations after opening the season with two strong wins and a competitive loss to Arizona. Thomas Haugh has been a major factor at 19.7 points and 8.3 rebounds while hitting nearly half his shots. Alex Condon brings another strong frontcourt presence at 15.7 points and eight rebounds with solid shooting at 57.7 percent. The backcourt has reliable distribution from Xaivian Lee, who contributes five assists per game. Florida’s rebounding edge at 53.7 per game is one of the most important pieces of this matchup, along with the team’s ability to force turnovers at 8.0 steals per contest. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Florida with the Kickr promo code.

Florida vs Miami Prediction

This shapes up as a true strength versus strength matchup with Miami leaning on scoring and tempo while Florida relies on rebounding and a big frontcourt. Miami has the better offensive numbers so far, but Florida’s size and depth allow more flexibility against an opponent that prefers to push the pace. The neutral court setting in Jacksonville removes the standard home court advantage and turns this into a pick-em scenario. Florida’s stronger frontcourt should generate more second-chance scoring and slow Miami’s early pace that carried the first three games. Make sure when you place your bet on Miami vs Florida you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

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Prediction: Florida 84, Miami 77

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Best Picks:

  • Florida moneyline
  • Under the total if the number opens in the high 150s, as Florida’s interior physicality can slow Miami’s early possessions
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