Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Kennesaw State Owls, Picks and Prediction for Thursday, February 12, 2026

By: Garrett Beaverson Published 02/12/2026, 12:20 AM ET
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The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (11-12, 5-7 Conference USA) hit the road to face the Kennesaw State Owls (14-9, 6-6 CUSA) on Thursday, February 12, 2026, at VyStar Arena in Kennesaw, GA. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Analysis

Middle Tennessee enters with an 11-12 record and a 5-7 mark in CUSA play. The Blue Raiders average roughly 74.6 points per game while allowing 71.9 PPG. They shoot around 43.9% from the field and have been competitive in many games, though recent results include tight losses, including an 89-88 overtime defeat to Delaware.

Team Overview and Metrics

  • PPG: 74.6

  • FG%: 43.9%

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  • Rebounds: 36.8 RPG

  • Assists: 14.5 APG

  • Points Allowed: 71.9

Strengths

  • Kamari Lands (G): Leads the team with 13.8 PPG, knocking down perimeter shots and creating offense.

  • Balanced offense: MTSU spreads scoring across multiple contributors.

  • Defensive activity: Blue Raiders average a solid number of steals and blocks, creating transition chances.

Weaknesses

  • Recent form: Middle Tennessee has played several tight losses and enters this matchup with struggles to close out games.

  • Turnovers: Slips on offensive possessions can yield easy buckets for opponents.

  • Road consistency: Offensive efficiency tends to dip in hostile environments.

Kennesaw State Owls Analysis

Kennesaw State has shown solid home success, 10-1 at VyStar Arena,Β and its offensive rebounding rate ranks among the best in the nation. The Owls average about 85.3 points per game while allowing 76.0 PPG and shoot roughly 44% from the field. Freshman stats also show excellent offensive rebounding and assists per game, underscoring their ability to generate second-chance points and ball movement.

Team Overview and Metrics

  • PPG: 85.3

  • FG%: 44%

  • Rebounds: 43.3 RPG

  • Assists: 14.6 APG

Strengths

  • Simeon Cottle (G): Leading scorer at 20.2 PPG, the primary offensive threat and go-to creator.

  • Trey Simpson (G): Near-elite three-point shooting with a notable 2.6 made three-pointers per game over last 10 outings.

  • Offensive rebounding: Ranked among national leaders with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game, creating extra possession opportunities.

  • Home dominance: Strong performance at home makes the Owls difficult to beat in VyStar Arena.

Weaknesses

  • Defensive efficiency: Allowing 76 PPG highlights some defensive vulnerabilities.

  • Consistency: The Owls have alternated results and can allow runs if perimeter shots don’t fall.

  • Turnover susceptibility: Aggressive ball movement can lead to live-ball turnovers.

Standout Players and Key Matchups

Middle Tennessee

  • Kamari Lands (G): Primary scoring and shot creation.

  • Torey Alston (F): Recent hot scoring (21 points vs Delaware) and rebounding contributor.

Kennesaw State

  • Simeon Cottle (G): Leading scorer with creating ability both inside and from distance.

  • Trey Simpson (G): Three-point specialist capable of changing momentum with shooting bursts.

  • Frankquon Sherman (F): Offensive rebounding presence with 3.2 per game.

Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction Reasoning

Kennesaw State’s explosive scoring profile, elite offensive rebounding, and strong home record give the Owls a distinct edge in this matchup.

Final Score Projection:

Kennesaw State 85, Middle Tennessee 74

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