Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Kennesaw State Owls, Picks and Prediction for Thursday, February 12, 2026
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The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (11-12, 5-7 Conference USA) hit the road to face the Kennesaw State Owls (14-9, 6-6 CUSA) on Thursday, February 12, 2026, at VyStar Arena in Kennesaw, GA. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Analysis
Middle Tennessee enters with an 11-12 record and a 5-7 mark in CUSA play. The Blue Raiders average roughly 74.6 points per game while allowing 71.9 PPG. They shoot around 43.9% from the field and have been competitive in many games, though recent results include tight losses, including an 89-88 overtime defeat to Delaware.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 74.6
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FG%: 43.9%
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Rebounds: 36.8 RPG
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Assists: 14.5 APG
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Points Allowed: 71.9
Strengths
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Kamari Lands (G): Leads the team with 13.8 PPG, knocking down perimeter shots and creating offense.
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Balanced offense: MTSU spreads scoring across multiple contributors.
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Defensive activity: Blue Raiders average a solid number of steals and blocks, creating transition chances.
Weaknesses
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Recent form: Middle Tennessee has played several tight losses and enters this matchup with struggles to close out games.
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Turnovers: Slips on offensive possessions can yield easy buckets for opponents.
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Road consistency: Offensive efficiency tends to dip in hostile environments.
Kennesaw State Owls Analysis
Kennesaw State has shown solid home success, 10-1 at VyStar Arena,Β and its offensive rebounding rate ranks among the best in the nation. The Owls average about 85.3 points per game while allowing 76.0 PPG and shoot roughly 44% from the field. Freshman stats also show excellent offensive rebounding and assists per game, underscoring their ability to generate second-chance points and ball movement.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 85.3
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FG%: 44%
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Rebounds: 43.3 RPG
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Assists: 14.6 APG
Strengths
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Simeon Cottle (G): Leading scorer at 20.2 PPG, the primary offensive threat and go-to creator.
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Trey Simpson (G): Near-elite three-point shooting with a notable 2.6 made three-pointers per game over last 10 outings.
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Offensive rebounding: Ranked among national leaders with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game, creating extra possession opportunities.
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Home dominance: Strong performance at home makes the Owls difficult to beat in VyStar Arena.
Weaknesses
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Defensive efficiency: Allowing 76 PPG highlights some defensive vulnerabilities.
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Consistency: The Owls have alternated results and can allow runs if perimeter shots donβt fall.
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Turnover susceptibility: Aggressive ball movement can lead to live-ball turnovers.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
Middle Tennessee
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Kamari Lands (G): Primary scoring and shot creation.
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Torey Alston (F): Recent hot scoring (21 points vs Delaware) and rebounding contributor.
Kennesaw State
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Simeon Cottle (G): Leading scorer with creating ability both inside and from distance.
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Trey Simpson (G): Three-point specialist capable of changing momentum with shooting bursts.
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Frankquon Sherman (F): Offensive rebounding presence with 3.2 per game.
Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction Reasoning
Kennesaw Stateβs explosive scoring profile, elite offensive rebounding, and strong home record give the Owls a distinct edge in this matchup.
Final Score Projection:
Kennesaw State 85, Middle Tennessee 74
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