Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions Picks and Predictions for Sunday February 1, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/01/2026, 01:30 AM ET
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The Minnesota Golden Gophers travel to University Park to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions in a Big Ten matchup at the Bryce Jordan Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 2:00 PM ET, with streaming coverage on Peacock. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released for the moneyline, total, or spread. For more expert insight and additional plays across the slate, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks.

Golden Gophers Grinding Through a Tough Stretch

Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 10-11 overall record and has struggled to find consistent results in conference play, especially on the road. The Golden Gophers have dropped four of their last five games, including recent losses at Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Illinois, while their lone recent win came at home against Nebraska.

From a statistical standpoint, Minnesota plays a slower, more controlled style. They average 71.6 points per game while allowing 68.4, and they shoot 45% from the field. Their ability to limit scoring has kept them competitive in several close losses.

One of Minnesota’s strengths is ball movement. Averaging 17.9 assists per game, the Gophers are effective when they execute in the half court. However, late-game scoring droughts and missed opportunities at the free-throw line have made closing games difficult.

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Nittany Lions Searching for a Home Spark

Penn State enters Sunday at 9-12 overall and has endured a brutal recent stretch, losing five straight games. Those losses include road defeats at Northwestern, Ohio State, and Maryland, along with home losses to Wisconsin and UCLA, as the Nittany Lions have struggled to keep pace defensively.

Offensively, Penn State averages 76.4 points per game but is allowing 78.5, a margin that has worked against them in conference play. They shoot 47% from the field, showing efficiency at times, but their rebounding numbers lag behind most Big Ten opponents.

Defensively, Penn State has had issues protecting the rim and controlling the glass, averaging just 1.4 blocks per game. That lack of interior resistance has allowed opponents to score efficiently in the paint and extend leads late.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions Pick

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions Pick

  • Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers +Spread (or Moneyline, if available)

Minnesota’s defensive consistency and slower tempo give them a slight edge in what projects as a grind-it-out game. Penn State’s recent defensive struggles and losing streak make them difficult to trust, even at home, against a disciplined opponent.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Penn State Nittany Lions Total Pick

  • Pick: Under the Total

I’m leaning under here because both teams tend to play slower, half-court-oriented games. Minnesota prefers to limit possessions, and Penn State has struggled to score efficiently against structured defenses, which should keep the total in check.

Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 69, Penn State 65

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