Missouri Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday January 27 2026
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Missouri vs Alabama picks headline the late SEC slate, and this matchup brings one of the highest totals on the board with Alabama expected to dictate pace at home. Bettors searching for value in Tuesday’s card will want to break down how this game sets up before locking in their college basketball picks.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread: Missouri +10.5
- Total: Under 165.5
- Projected Final Score: Alabama 83, Missouri 75
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Missouri | +10.5 (-108) | Over 165.5 (-110) |
| Alabama | -10.5 (-112) | Under 165.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Missouri | Alabama |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/26 | 02:03 PM | +10.5 (-102) | -10.5 (-120) |
| 01/26 | 02:07 PM | +10.5 (-106) | -10.5 (-114) |
| 01/27 | 07:36 AM | +10.5 (-106) | -10.5 (-114) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/26 | 02:03 PM | 165.5 (-115) | 165.5 (-105) |
| 01/27 | 01:57 AM | 165.5 (-110) | 165.5 (-110) |
Missouri vs Alabama Key Matchups and Game Preview
Missouri heads to Coleman Coliseum in a spot where the market clearly expects Alabama to control the game. The number is driven by Alabama’s extreme scoring profile, with the Crimson Tide averaging 92.1 points per game compared to Missouri’s 81.1. Alabama also owns a clear rebounding edge at 42.1 rebounds per game versus 36.4 for the Tigers, which is often the foundation for its fast and physical style.
Defensively, neither side has been airtight. Alabama has allowed 82.4 points per game, while Missouri has given up 73.0, creating a profile that naturally pushes this total into the mid-160s. Recent results support a volatile script. Missouri is 2-3 over its last five games but comes in off an 88-87 overtime win against Oklahoma. Alabama has also gone 2-3 in its last five, mixing in track-meet style wins and losses, including a 97-82 win at Mississippi State and a 79-73 loss to Tennessee.
Star power is present on both sides. Missouri’s offense flows through Mark Mitchell, who is averaging 17.7 points per game, while Alabama’s engine is Labaron Philon Jr. at 22.2 points and 5.0 assists per game. The Tide also get consistent secondary scoring from Aden Holloway at 17.7 points per game, which is a big reason they can separate quickly at home.
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Injuries and depth are worth noting in a game expected to feature a high number of possessions. Missouri will be without forward J. Porter due to a lower-leg injury. Alabama has A. Allen listed as doubtful and multiple depth pieces out, which thins the rotation in the frontcourt. That can show up as foul trouble or defensive rebounding volatility, even if Alabama still owns the overall edge on the glass.
From a betting standpoint, this total is massive. It is hard to get to 166 without both teams staying efficient for a full 40 minutes. Alabama is coming off a game where it struggled from three-point range, and a slight dip in shooting efficiency still allows the Tide to win comfortably without pushing this game over the number.
Betting Trends (MIZ and ALA)
- Missouri is 2-3 over its last five games.
- Alabama is 2-3 over its last five games.
- Alabama averages 92.1 points per game this season.
- Missouri averages 81.1 points per game this season.
Key Injuries and Things To Know (MIZ and ALA)
- Missouri: Forward J. Porter is out with a lower-leg injury.
- Alabama: A. Allen is listed as doubtful, with multiple depth pieces also out.
Side and Over and Under Picks
- Side: Missouri +10.5
- Total: Under 165.5
Final Score Prediction
Alabama 83, Missouri 75
How to Wager On Missouri vs Alabama
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