Monmouth Hawks at UNC Wilmington Seahawks, Picks and Prediction for Thursday, February 19, 2026

By: Garrett Beaverson Published 02/19/2026, 12:55 AM ET
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The Monmouth Hawks travel to Wilmington, North Carolina to face the UNC Wilmington Seahawks on Thursday, February 19, 2026 at Trask Coliseum. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.

Monmouth Hawks Analysis

Monmouth enters the matchup at 14-12 overall. The Hawks average 72.6 points per game while allowing 74.9, reflecting a team that plays in tight, possession-by-possession contests.

Team Overview and Metrics

  • PPG: 72.6

  • FG%: 43.3%

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  • 3P%: 34.9%

  • Rebounds: 36.6 RPG

  • Assists: 14.1 APG

Strengths

  • Jason Rivera-Torres (F): Leads the Hawks at 15.8 PPG and 8.3 RPG, providing interior scoring and rebounding stability.

  • Justin Ray (G): Adds 11.7 PPG with perimeter shooting ability, stretching defenses beyond the arc.

  • Offensive versatility: Monmouth can play inside-out and has multiple double-figure scorers.

Weaknesses

  • Defensive consistency: Allowing nearly 75 PPG has hurt them against top CAA teams.

  • Road efficiency: Shooting percentages dip slightly away from home.

UNC Wilmington Seahawks Analysis

UNC Wilmington comes in at 22-4, sitting near the top of the conference standings. The Seahawks average 77 points per game while holding opponents to 69.8, one of the better defensive marks in the CAA.

Team Overview and Metrics

  • PPG: 77

  • FG%: 45.1%

  • 3P%: 35.5%

  • Rebounds: 39.7 RPG

  • Assists: 13.4 APG

Strengths

  • Nolan Hodge: The teamโ€™s leading scorer at 15.2 PPG, capable of scoring at all three levels.

  • Christian May: A steady backcourt presence averaging 10.3 PPG.

  • Rebounding edge: Nearly +4 rebound margin per game, limiting second-chance opportunities.

Weaknesses

  • Occasional scoring droughts: Can rely heavily on White for consistent offense.

  • Free-throw shooting: below 70%, which can matter in close games.

  • Foul trouble in the frontcourt: Depth can be tested if starters pick up early fouls.

Matchup to Watch UNCWโ€™s defense versus Monmouthโ€™s perimeter shooting. If the Seahawks limit three-point attempts and control the boards, they can dictate tempo and prevent Monmouth from getting into an offensive rhythm.

UNC Wilmington vs Monmouth Prediction Reasoning

UNC Wilmington holds clear advantages in defensive efficiency, rebounding, and home performance. Monmouth has the scoring capability to stay within striking distance early, but sustaining offense against the Seahawksโ€™ defensive pressure will be difficult over 40 minutes.

If UNCW controls second-chance opportunities and forces Monmouth into half-court sets, they should gradually build separation in the second half.

Final Score Projection:

UNC Wilmington 79, Monmouth 70

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Best Picks

  • UNC Wilmington -7.5
  • Over 141 total points
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