Monmouth Hawks vs Hofstra Pride Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 10 2026
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The Monmouth Hawks and Hofstra Pride meet in the CAA Championship Final on Tuesday night at CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with television coverage on CBSSN. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. This Colonial Athletic Association title game features two teams that have taken very different paths to the final but both enter the matchup riding winning streaks and strong recent form. As always, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for additional analysis and daily selections.
Monmouth Hawks Carry Momentum Into Title Game
Monmouth enters the CAA Championship game with a 19-14 overall record and an 11-7 conference mark, and the Hawks have been playing excellent basketball down the stretch. Monmouth advanced to the final after recently winning over Campbell 74-64 in the semifinal and recently winning over Drexel 65-57 in the quarterfinals. Prior to the tournament run they had also recently won over Northeastern, recently won over Elon, and recently won over Stony Brook, giving them five straight victories entering this championship matchup.
On the season, Monmouth averages 72.8 points per game while allowing 70.7 points per contest. The Hawks shoot 44% from the field, grab 35.4 rebounds per game, and average 14.0 assists per contest. Defensively they have been disruptive, averaging 7.7 steals and 4.5 blocks per game, which has helped them create transition opportunities and compensate for occasional shooting slumps.
In the semifinal win over Campbell, Kavion McClain led the Hawks with 19 points, helping spark the offense in key stretches of the second half. Jason Rivera-Torres controlled the glass with 7 rebounds, providing interior stability despite the Hawks being outrebounded in the game. One key tournament angle for Monmouth is their ability to protect the basketball, committing only 7 turnovers in the semifinal, which is a significant edge in a championship setting where possessions become extremely valuable. 
Hofstra Pride Seek Another Conference Crown
Hofstra comes into the final with a 23-10 overall record and a 12-6 CAA record, finishing near the top of the conference standings before making their tournament run. The Pride advanced to the championship after recently winning over Towson 68-65 in overtime in a hard-fought semifinal. Before that they recently won over William & Mary 92-61 in the quarterfinals. Over their last five games they have also recently won over Drexel, recently won over Stony Brook, and recently won over Northeastern, showing impressive consistency.
The Pride average 75.9 points per game while allowing just 66.0 points per contest, making them one of the better defensive teams in the conference. Hofstra shoots 45% from the field, pulls down 39.2 rebounds per game, and averages 13.0 assists per contest. Their defense has been particularly effective at limiting scoring opportunities, supported by 5.0 steals and 3.8 blocks per game.
In the semifinal overtime win against Towson, Preston Edmead led Hofstra with 22 points, stepping up in a crucial offensive role during the extra period. Silas Sunday dominated the boards with 11 rebounds, helping the Pride secure second chances and limit Towson’s opportunities. The biggest tournament takeaway for Hofstra is their rebounding advantage, as they grabbed 39 rebounds in the semifinal, which helped them survive a physical game and ultimately pull away in overtime.
Monmouth Hawks vs Hofstra Pride Pick
Monmouth Hawks vs Hofstra Pride Spread Pick
- Pick: Hofstra Pride - Spread (or Moneyline depending on final odds)
Hofstra enters the championship with the more balanced profile, especially on the defensive end. The Pride allow nearly five fewer points per game than Monmouth and have shown they can win both high-scoring games and defensive battles during the tournament. Monmouth’s turnover discipline is impressive, but Hofstra’s rebounding advantage and overall defensive structure give them the edge in a championship environment.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vinciletti | +5,547.00 |
| 2 |  Steve Seagrave | +3,420.00 |
| 3 |  Stephen Nover | +3,085.00 |
| 4 |  Nick Parsons | +1,166.00 |
| 5 |  Tom Macrina | +740.00 |
Monmouth Hawks vs Hofstra Pride Total Pick
- Pick: Under
I like the under in this championship matchup. Title games tend to slow down as both teams tighten their defensive rotations and shorten their benches. Hofstra already plays strong half-court defense, and Monmouth has shown a willingness to grind out possessions when necessary. With both teams coming off emotional semifinal victories and potentially dealing with fatigue, I expect a more controlled pace and fewer transition opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: Hofstra Pride 72, Monmouth Hawks 66
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