Montana Grizzlies vs Portland State Vikings Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 10 2026
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The Montana Grizzlies and the Portland State Vikings meet in the Big Sky Championship Semifinal on Tuesday, March 10, 2026, at Idaho Central Arena in Boise, Idaho. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on ESPNU. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released for this matchup. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more tournament predictions and expert analysis.
Grizzlies Surge into Semifinals After Offensive Explosion
Montana enters the Big Sky Tournament semifinal with a 17-15 overall record and a 10-8 conference record. The Grizzlies advanced to this round after recently winning over Northern Colorado 95-89 in the previous tournament round. Over their last five games, Montana has recently lost to Northern Colorado, recently won over Portland State, recently won over Sacramento State, and recently lost to Weber State during the final stretch of the regular season.
Montana averages 77.1 points per game while allowing 74.6 points per contest this season. The Grizzlies shoot an impressive 49% from the field, average 34.5 rebounds per game, and record 15.3 assists per contest. Defensively, Montana produces 5.8 steals per game and 2.5 blocks, while their offensive efficiency has been a key strength thanks to their strong shooting percentage.
In their tournament win over Northern Colorado, Money Williams delivered a huge performance with 40 points, carrying the offense while attacking the basket and converting 18-of-19 free throws. Kenyon Aguino led the team with 8 rebounds, helping Montana edge Northern Colorado on the boards. The Grizzlies shot 53% from the field in that game, and their offensive rhythm could be a major factor again despite the quick turnaround heading into this semifinal matchup.
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Vikings Aim to Continue Strong Season
Portland State enters the Big Sky Championship semifinal with a 20-10 overall record and a 13-5 mark in Big Sky play. The Vikings advanced to this round after recently winning over Idaho State 85-78 in the previous round of the tournament. In their last five games, Portland State has recently won over Weber State, recently lost to Montana, recently lost to Montana State, and recently lost to Eastern Washington before regaining momentum in the tournament.
As a team, Portland State averages 76.8 points per game while allowing 70.1 points per contest. The Vikings shoot 47% from the field, average 36.9 rebounds per game, and record 14.7 assists per contest. Defensively, they generate 7.7 steals per game and 3.9 blocks, giving them an athletic defensive profile capable of disrupting opposing offenses.
In the quarterfinal win over Idaho State, Terri Miller Jr. led the Vikings with 31 points and also grabbed 10 rebounds, controlling the game offensively and on the glass. Portland State also showed strong ball security with only four turnovers in that game, while converting 32 free throws. That ability to attack the basket and generate points at the line could become a key factor in a tight semifinal matchup.
Montana Grizzlies vs Portland State Vikings Pick
Montana Grizzlies vs Portland State Vikings Spread Pick
- Portland State Vikings -2.5
Portland State has been one of the more balanced teams in the Big Sky this season, combining solid defense with consistent scoring. While Montana comes in with momentum after a high-scoring win, the quick turnaround could impact their defensive energy. Portland State’s ability to control the pace, rebound effectively, and create turnovers gives them a slight edge in what should be a competitive semifinal matchup.
Montana Grizzlies vs Portland State Vikings Total Pick
- Over 150.5
I like the over in this matchup because both teams play with offensive efficiency and have shown the ability to score in the upper 70s or higher. Montana just put up 95 points in its last game, while Portland State has consistently produced strong offensive numbers this season. With both teams shooting well and the potential for a fast pace in a tournament environment, I expect this game to push into the 150 range.
Final Score Prediction: Portland State Vikings 78, Montana Grizzlies 74
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