Morgan State Bears vs California Golden Bears Picks and Predictions for Friday December 19, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 12/19/2025, 12:15 AM ET

Morgan State heads west to face California in a clear mismatch, with the opening tipoff at 10:00 PM ET at Haas Pavilion in Berkeley. The Bears from the MEAC enter at 2-8 overall and are still searching for a road win at 0-4 away, while California sits at 10-1 and a perfect 9-0 at home. ESPN Analytics gives California a 98.5 percent win probability, and the recent form of both teams supports that outlook. Big board, bigger value — see our winning college basketball predictions.

Morgan State Preview

Morgan State has struggled to generate consistency on either end of the floor, allowing 81.8 points per game while scoring 72.7. Alfred Worrell Jr. leads the team at 14.8 points per game, but his shooting has been an issue at 35.2 percent from the field. The Bears also average just 33.3 rebounds per game, which puts pressure on a squad that already gives up second chances at a high rate.

The backcourt does provide some ball movement, with Elijah Davis averaging 4.7 assists per game and logging over 32 minutes per night. Turnovers remain a problem, as Morgan State averages 13.8 per game and struggles when opponents speed up the tempo. That weakness showed up clearly in recent road losses, including a 92-49 defeat at DePaul and an 88-56 loss at Old Dominion.

California Preview

California brings a much more balanced profile into this matchup, scoring 82.6 points per game while holding opponents to 69.2. Dai Dai Ames leads the way with 18.3 points per game on an efficient 51.7 percent shooting, and he is supported by multiple double-digit scorers. Alfred Worrell Jr.’s 24-point performance last game highlights how comfortable this offense has been at home.

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Justin Pippen adds steady playmaking with 4.2 assists per game, while Lee Dort anchors the interior with 7.1 rebounds and 1.1 blocks per game. California also shoots 38 percent from three as a team and has won five straight games, including a quality win over UCLA. Haas Pavilion has been a major advantage, with the Golden Bears controlling the pace and forcing opponents into tough shots.

California vs Morgan State Prediction

This matchup sets up poorly for Morgan State, given the rebounding gap, shooting difference, and home-court edge. California’s depth and ability to score inside and out should stretch a Morgan State defense that has struggled against higher-level competition. Expect the Golden Bears to build a lead early and maintain control throughout.

Best Pick and Final Score Prediction

California to win comfortably is the safest angle, even without a posted line. A projected final score of California 85, Morgan State 62 reflects the offensive gap and home dominance. This game also leans toward the under due to Morgan State's lack of consistent scoring based on recent road performances. Betting on sports and on Morgan State is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for California with the Novig promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on California vs Morgan State you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

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