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Mount Saint Mary Mountaineers vs Siena Saints Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 7 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/07/2026, 03:15 AM ET

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The Mount Saint Mary Mountaineers face the Siena Saints in the MAAC Championship Quarterfinal on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, New Jersey. Tip-off for this conference tournament matchup is scheduled for 8:30 PM and the game will be broadcast on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released for the moneyline, total, or spread. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert predictions and betting insight on today’s college basketball games.

Mount Saint Mary Riding Late Season Confidence

The Mount Saint Mary Mountaineers enter the MAAC tournament with a 15-16 overall record and finished conference play with an 11-9 MAAC mark. Mount Saint Mary has been playing solid basketball lately, going 4-1 over their last five games. They recently won over Fairfield 69-47, Canisius 68-47, Niagara 76-63, and Rider 65-55. Their only recent loss came against Sacred Heart 77-69.

Offensively, Mount Saint Mary averages 68.4 points per game while allowing 70.4 points per contest. The Mountaineers shoot 44% from the field and average 36.9 rebounds per game along with 13.8 assists per contest. Defensively they also contribute 3.0 blocks and 6.2 steals per game.

One area where Mount Saint Mary has been particularly effective is on the defensive side of the floor. They recently held Fairfield and Canisius to just 47 points each, showing their ability to slow down opponents and control the tempo of games. If their defense continues to perform at that level, they could be a dangerous team in this tournament.

Siena Saints Bringing Balanced Play

The Siena Saints come into this quarterfinal matchup with a 20-11 overall record and a strong 13-7 record in MAAC play. Siena has gone 3-2 over their last five games. They recently won over Rider 76-61, defeated St. Peter’s 72-63, and also picked up a 67-63 victory over Marist. Their losses during this stretch came against Fairfield 72-58 and Merrimack 79-72 in overtime.

Siena averages 70.8 points per game while allowing just 66.5 points per contest, one of the better defensive numbers in the conference. The Saints shoot 46% from the field and average 33.6 rebounds per game along with 13.2 assists per contest.

A key strength for Siena has been their defensive consistency. Allowing only 66.5 points per game gives them the ability to grind out wins even when their offense is not firing on all cylinders. Their efficiency shooting the ball and disciplined defensive play make them a difficult matchup for many teams in the MAAC.

Mount Saint Mary Mountaineers vs Siena Saints Pick

Mount Saint Mary Mountaineers vs Siena Saints Pick

  • Pick: Siena Saints Spread

Siena enters this matchup with the stronger overall record and one of the better defenses in the MAAC. While Mount Saint Mary has been playing well recently, Siena’s defensive consistency and efficient offense give them an advantage in a tournament setting where possessions become extremely valuable. The Saints should be able to control the pace and limit Mount Saint Mary’s scoring opportunities.

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Mount Saint Mary Mountaineers vs Siena Saints Total Pick

  • Pick: Under

I expect this game to be played at a slower pace. Both teams average around 70 points per game and Siena in particular relies on defense to win games. With the tournament atmosphere often leading to tighter defensive play, I see this matchup staying under the total.

Final Score Prediction: Siena Saints 70, Mount Saint Mary Mountaineers 64

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