Murray State Racers vs Nevada Wolf Pack Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 18 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/18/2026, 01:05 AM ET
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The Murray State Racers and Nevada Wolf Pack will face off on Wednesday, March 18, 2026, at Lawlor Events Center in Reno, Nevada, with tip-off scheduled for 10:00 PM on ESPN+. Nevada enters this matchup as a -345 favorite on the moneyline, while Murray State is listed at +275. The total is set at 163.5, with Nevada favored by 8.5 points. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily betting insights.

Racers Searching for Answers Late in the Season

Murray State comes into this matchup at 20-12 and has struggled recently, particularly over their last five games. They have picked up a win over Evansville but have also suffered losses to UIC, Bradley, Illinois State, and Belmont during that stretch.

The Racers average 83.3 points per game while allowing 80.0, and they shoot 46% from the field. They also contribute 36.4 rebounds and 13.8 assists per game, showing that they can score but often give up just as much on the defensive end.

Murray State’s biggest issue has been their defense. While they can score at a high level, allowing 80 points per game puts pressure on their offense to keep up. That imbalance has been evident in their recent losses and could be a concern in this matchup.

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Wolf Pack Look to Defend Home Court

Nevada enters this game at 22-12 and has been solid at home throughout the season. They have gone 3-2 in their last five games, with wins over Grand Canyon and Air Force twice, while losses came against Utah State and Wyoming.

The Wolf Pack average 75.9 points per game while allowing 71.6, and they shoot 44% from the field. They also bring in 36.0 rebounds and 14.2 assists per game, showing a more controlled and balanced approach compared to Murray State.

Nevada’s strength lies in their defensive consistency and ability to manage the pace of the game. They tend to slow things down and limit opponents’ scoring opportunities, which could be key against a high-scoring but defensively vulnerable Murray State team.

Murray State vs Nevada Prediction

Murray State vs Nevada Pick

  • Nevada -8.5

Nevada’s defensive advantage and home-court presence make them the stronger side in this matchup. Murray State’s struggles on defense, especially in recent games, could be a major issue against a disciplined Nevada team. The Wolf Pack should be able to control the tempo and create separation late.

Murray State vs Nevada Total Pick

  • Over 163.5

I like the over in this matchup because Murray State plays at a fast pace and tends to get into high-scoring games. Even if Nevada prefers a slower tempo, Murray State’s style often dictates a higher number of possessions. With both teams capable offensively, this game has a good chance to go over the total.

Final Score Prediction: Nevada 86, Murray State 78

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