NC State Wolfpack vs SMU Mustangs Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, February 3, 2026

By: David Anicetti Published 02/03/2026, 12:10 AM ET
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The NC State Wolfpack head to Dallas to take on the SMU Mustangs on Tuesday night. NC State is 16-6 overall and 7-2 in ACC play, tied for third in the conference standings after winning four of its last five games. SMU is 15-6 overall and 4-4 in ACC action, ninth in the conference after a road loss at Louisville. Cash a winning ticket with our free college basketball picks.

Game Information

  • Date: Tuesday, February 3
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Location: Moody Coliseum (Dallas), Dallas, TX
  • TV: ESPN2

NC State Wolfpack

NC State continues to roll offensively, averaging 85.9 points per game while shooting 48% from the field. Darrion Williams leads the Wolfpack, averaging 14.7 points per game, and Quadir Copeland has been a big part of the offense, averaging 14.0 points and 6.5 assists per game. Ven-Allen Lubin leads the frontcourt with averages of 13.5 points and a team-best 7.0 rebounds per game, giving the Wolfpack consistent production inside.

Defensively, NC State has been solid in ACC play, allowing 72.0 points per game while creating extra possessions with 8.6 steals per contest. The Wolfpack also do a good job limiting mistakes, averaging 9.7 turnovers per game, and the ability to rebound and run has fueled this recent stretch of wins. NC State has Alyn Breed, Scottie Ebube, and Jordan Snell listed as questionable.

Key Stats – Per Game

  • Points: 85.9
  • Points Allowed: 72.0
  • Rebounds: 36.0
  • Assists: 16.8
  • Steals: 8.6
  • Blocks: 3.0
  • Turnovers: 9.7

SMU Mustangs

SMU has been one of the more explosive teams in the ACC, averaging 86.6 points per game on 49% shooting from the field. Boopie Miller leads the offense with 19.4 points and 6.6 assists per game, and Jaron Pierre Jr. gives the Mustangs another solid scorer at 17.0 points per game. B.J. Edwards averages 14.1 points, 5.1 assists, and strong defensive pressure, while Samet Yigitoglu provides a steady interior presence at 10.7 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks per game.

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The challenge for SMU has been consistency on the defensive end, where they allow 77.5 points per game and can get into track meets when opponents push tempo. Still, the Mustangs rebound well at 38.1 per game and move the ball at 17.3 assists per contest, giving them the firepower to keep pace in a high-scoring matchup. SMU does not have any players listed on its injury.

Key Stats – Per Game

  • Points: 86.6
  • Points Allowed: 77.5
  • Rebounds: 38.1
  • Assists: 17.3
  • Steals: 7.7
  • Blocks: 3.9
  • Turnovers: 11.8

NC State Wolfpack vs SMU Mustangs Prediction

Both teams can score in bunches, but NC State’s ability to generate steals, protect the ball, and get consistent production from multiple scorers gives them a slight edge in a game that should be played at a quick pace. SMU’s offense will keep this tight for long stretches, but NC State’s defensive pressure and shooting make the difference in a close game. Final Score Prediction: NC State Wolfpack win and cover ATS, 91-84.

Best Picks

  • NC State Wolfpack
  • Over

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