New Mexico Lobos at San José State Spartans, Picks and Prediction for Saturday January 31 2026
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The New Mexico Lobos travel to San José, CA to face the San José State Spartans on Friday, January 31, 2026 at Provident Credit Union Event Center. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
New Mexico Lobos Analysis
New Mexico continues to rank among the Mountain West’s most efficient offenses, averaging roughly 81.1 points per game while shooting 45.4 % from the field and grabbing 37.3 rebounds per contest. Defensively, the Lobos limit opponents to about 67.5 points per game with strong ball pressure.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 81.1
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FG%: 45.4 %
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3P%: 34.9 %
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Rebounds: 37.3 RPG
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Assists: 15.1 APG
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Opp PPG: 67.5
Strengths
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Balanced scorers: New Mexico spreads offense among several contributors, notably Jake Hall (team scoring leader at 15.0 PPG).
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Interior rebounding: The Lobos dominate the glass, fueling extra possessions and limiting second-chance points.
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Turnover creation: New Mexico forces 14.8 turnovers per game, generating transition opportunities.
Weaknesses
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Perimeter defense: Extended possessions can open up open looks for hot shooting teams.
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Three-point consistency: While efficiency is decent, accuracy can fluctuate against pressure defenses.
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Road environment: San José State’s up-tempo crowd can disrupt early offensive rhythm. (Season trend)
San José State Spartans Analysis
San José State has had mixed success this season; while the most recent full statistical profile is limited, the Spartans have shown competitive energy at home and can keep games close with hustle and physical defense, even when outmatched talent-wise.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 69.7
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Rebounds: 30.4 RPG
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Assists: 10.2 APG
Strengths
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Go-to scorer: Colby Garland (17.9 PPG) leads the Spartans as the primary offensive weapon.
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Effort rebounding: Despite smaller frontcourt, Spartans crash boards and fight for second-chance points.
Weaknesses
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Interior size: San José State often trails teams with bigger frontcourts on the glass and in the paint.
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Offensive depth: Beyond Garland, scoring drops significantly, especially against pressure defenses.
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Assist creation: Lower assist numbers reflect difficulties generating clean offensive opportunities.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
New Mexico
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Jake Hall (G/F): Leading scorer whose efficient shooting fuels balanced offense.
San José State
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Colby Garland (G): Offensive leader who needs to carry Spartan scoring.
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Role scorers: Secondary production remains crucial to staying competitive.
New Mexico vs San Jose State Prediction Reasoning
New Mexico has this one covered in all areas. The Lobos are the better team and should handle business.
Final Score Projection: New Mexico 85, San José State 70
Best Picks
- New Mexico -14.5
- Under 148.5 total points
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