New Orleans vs Memphis Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, December 3, 2025
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New Orleans heads into FedExForum trying to snap a four-game skid, and the matchup sets up as another tough road challenge. The Privateers are 2-5 overall and have dropped five straight away from home, giving up 81.1 points per game while shooting 41 percent from the field. Memphis returns home at 2-4 after beating Southern Illinois and continues to lean heavily on its guard play. Tip-off is set for 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+ in Memphis. Big board, bigger value — see our winning college basketball predictions.
New Orleans Preview
New Orleans continues to revolve around Coleton Benson and Jakevion Buckley, who combine for 32.2 points per game. Benson is hitting 41.8 percent from three, and Buckley brings 15.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 5.4 assists, but the issue has been ball security. Buckley averages 5 turnovers per game, and the team commits 15.6 per night. That has cost possessions in tight games, including the overtime loss at Mississippi State. MJ Thomas gives New Orleans a strong interior presence with 7.4 rebounds and 55.9 percent shooting, and Churchill Abass adds 7.3 points while shooting 58.3 percent. New Orleans scores 72.0 points per game, but the 81.1 allowed keeps the Privateers in constant catch-up mode.
Memphis Preview
Memphis comes in with a more balanced scoring group led by Dug McDaniel at 14.8 points and 5.7 assists. McDaniel’s 90.5 percent free-throw shooting is critical late in games. Sincere Parker and Julius Thedford supply support with a combined 16.8 points and 8.2 rebounds, and Memphis shoots 42.5 percent overall. Zach Davis and Curtis Givens III round out the perimeter, and Ashton Hardaway adds 7.3 points while hitting 33.3 percent from deep. Memphis averages 74.0 points while allowing 75.3, but the Tigers force 8.2 turnovers per game, which lines up well against a New Orleans squad that already struggles taking care of the ball.
Memphis vs New Orleans Free Pick
This matchup favors Memphis based on guard play and turnover differential. The Tigers have the deeper backcourt and push tempo at home, while New Orleans tends to fall behind due to inefficient shooting, turnovers, and foul trouble in the frontcourt. New Orleans can score in spurts, especially if Benson heats up from the perimeter, but Memphis’ guards and stronger bench should control the pace. The best sportsbooks are the best way to go when you are betting on New Orleans. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Memphis with the Onyx Odds promo code. Getting the most out of your bets on New Orleans vs Memphis can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
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Prediction: Memphis 80, New Orleans 69
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Best Picks
- Memphis ML (safe side with home advantage).
- Memphis - spread (edge created by turnover gap and depth).
- Over (scoring profiles on both sides lean toward a higher-tempo game).
