North Carolina Central at Dayton — Picks & Prediction for Saturday, November 22, 2025

By: Garrett Beaverson Published 11/22/2025, 01:40 AM ET
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The North Carolina Central Eagles travel to Ohio to face the Dayton Flyers on Friday, November 21, 2025. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET at UD Arena. Get in on the action with our free college basketall picks.

North Carolina Central Eagles Analysis

NCCU is still building as a competitive force in the MEAC, relying heavily on a few key contributors to lead their rotation. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on the Eagles.

Key Player Stats & Team Metrics

  • The Eagles are 2-4 so far this season.

  • Gage Lattimore, a guard, is leading the team with 21.5 PPG through early games.

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  • Their top rebounder: Khouri Carvey, pulling in 7.5 RPG.

  • Dionte Johnson, another guard, contributes across the board with 5.7 assists and 3.0 steals per game.

Strengths:

  • Explosive guard play: With Lattimore and Johnson, NCCU can generate offense quickly and pressure defenses.

  • Rebounding strength: Carvey gives them toughness on the boards, which can lead to second-chance opportunities.

  • Up-tempo style: Their pace and energy could create transition chances and throw Dayton off rhythm.

Weaknesses:

  • Defensive consistency: As a smaller mid-major, they may struggle to contain larger or more athletic lineups.

  • Limited depth: Beyond their top guards and big men, production could drop off against a high-major opponent.

  • Efficiency concerns: Their shooting and turnover rates will need to be controlled if they want a realistic shot.

Dayton Flyers Analysis

Dayton enters the game in strong form under veteran coach Anthony Grant, using a well-rounded starting unit and solid depth. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Flyers with the Kickr promo code.

Key Player Stats & Team Metrics

  • Dayton’s record stands at 4–1 early in the season.

  • Leading scorer: Javon Bennett, averaging 18.4 PPG.

  • Their top rebounder: Amaël L’Etang, pulling 7.6 RPG per game.

  • Assists leader: Jordan Derkack, averaging 4.2 assists per game.

  • The Flyers average 79.5 points per game while allowing 68.8 PPG.

Strengths:

  • Balanced scoring: With multiple players who can score and distribute, Dayton is difficult to defend.

  • Efficiency: Their effective field-goal percentage and turnover control contribute to sustained offense.

  • Experienced coaching: Grant’s system gives them structure, helping them defend and execute in half-court sets.

Weaknesses:

  • 3-point shooting: Their early three-point percentage is lower than ideal, and cold perimeter shooting could hurt.

  • Rebounding margin: According to team numbers, Dayton is being out-rebounded on average — which could be a factor if NCCU competes on the boards.

  • Turnover swings: While they have a good assist-to-turnover ratio, careless possessions still present risk if NCCU pressures aggressively.

Standout Players & Key Notes

  • NCCU:

    • Gage Lattimore — go-to scorer and the engine of their backcourt.

    • Khouri Carvey — their big man on the boards, vital for second-chance looks.

    • Dionte Johnson — multi-faceted guard who can create and defend.

  • Dayton:

    • Javon Bennett — top scorer, leader in clutch moments.

    • Amaël L’Etang — the frontcourt anchor.

    • Jordan Derkack — primary playmaker, brings both scoring and distribution.

North Carolina Central vs Dayton Prediction Reasoning

This game leans heavily in favor of Dayton, but not as a guaranteed blowout — NCCU has enough talent in the backcourt and on the boards to challenge. Make sure when you place your bet on Dayton vs North Carolina Central you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Final Score Projection: Dayton 88, NC Central 67

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Best Picks

  • NNCU +28.5
  • Over 148.5 total points
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