North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack Picks & Prediction Tuesday February, 17, 2026

By: Thomas Pemberton Published 02/17/2026, 01:10 AM ET
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ACC rivalry game will be played on Tuesday when the North Carolina Tar Heels head into NC State to take on the Wolfpack. Both squads have played well this season but the Wolfpack have lost two straight games. NC State lost their last game 77-76 against Miami (FL). While the Tar Heels are ranked #16 in the country and are seeking their 21st win of the season. See below for my UNC vs NC State prediction or find our expert's College Basketball Picks Here. 

Tar Heels Are Seeking A Second Straight Win

The #16 North Carolina Tar Heels are 20-5 on the season. UNC beat Pittsburgh 79-65 in their last game played. Jarin Stevenson and Seth Trimble both scored 19 points in the victory. Trimble is averaging 13.9 points per game with 2.4 assists, and 3.8 rebounds. The Tar Heels top two scorers Caleb Wilson and Henri Veesaar are both sidelined with injuries.

The Tar Heels head into NC State with a losing 3-4 record and they have won seven of their last ten games. North Carolina is averaging 81.8 points scored per game with 8.7 made three pointers. The Tar Heels have been aggressive on the glass this season with 35.6 rebounds per game.

Wolfpack Continue To Lose

The NC State Wolfpack have now lost two straight games. NC State lost by point against Miami (FL) in their last game played. The Wolfpack were winning 42-37 at the half before being outscored 40-34 in the 2nd half. Ven-Allen Lubin and Matt Able led the way in the loss with 17 points each. Darrion Williams leads NC State on the season with 14.2 points scored per game.

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The NC State Wolfpack are 18-8 on the season. The Wolfpack have won seven of their last ten games but have lost two straight games. NC State is averaging 85 points per game with an impressive 10.6 made three pointers per game. The Wolfpack head into Tuesday with a 10-4 home court record on the season.

North Carolina vs NC State Spread Pick

  • North Carolina Tar Heels +6.5

North Carolina does have to compensate for a couple key injuries as they head into NC State. The Tar Heels still have plenty of talent and are a very well coached team. The Wolfpack do play their best basketball on their home court but are facing a third straight loss. Watch for a tigh game throughout where they underdog shows the best value.

North Carolina vs NC State Over/Under Pick

  • UNDER 158.5

Both UNC and NC State have been scoring under their point average through their last couple of games played. Watch for NC State to find some momentum with a hostile crowd behind them. The Tar Heels will be playing lock down defense to help out with some key injuries. Expect another low scoring game by both teams.

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