North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Saint Thomas-Minnesota Tommies Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 7 2026
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The North Dakota Fighting Hawks and Saint Thomas-Minnesota Tommies meet in the Summit League Championship Semifinal on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at the Denny Sanford Premier Center in Sioux Falls, South Dakota. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on CBSSN. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. For more tournament analysis and predictions, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for additional expert insight.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks Riding Momentum into the Semifinal
The North Dakota Fighting Hawks enter the Summit League semifinal with a 17-16 overall record and a 10-6 conference record. North Dakota advanced to this round with an 83-67 quarterfinal win over Denver. Over their last five games, the Fighting Hawks have recently won over Denver and Kansas City, while recently losing to North Dakota State twice and South Dakota State.
North Dakota averages 77.1 points per game while allowing 77.8 points per contest, showing a team that often finds itself in high-scoring battles. The Fighting Hawks shoot 44% from the field, collect 33.3 rebounds per game, and average 11.4 assists per contest. Defensively they are active in passing lanes with 8.7 steals per game while adding 2.6 blocks per contest.
In their quarterfinal victory, Greyson Uelmen delivered one of the most dominant performances of the tournament with 41 points on 13-of-19 shooting and 12-of-18 from the free-throw line. His scoring efficiency fueled North Dakota’s offense throughout the game. Marley Curtis led the team on the glass with 8 rebounds, helping the Fighting Hawks slightly edge Denver on the boards. North Dakota also shot 49% from the field and 39% from three-point range, highlighting the offensive rhythm they bring into the semifinal matchup. 
Saint Thomas-Minnesota Tommies Enter Well Rested
The Saint Thomas-Minnesota Tommies come into this semifinal with a 24-8 overall record and a 12-4 Summit League record. Saint Thomas earned a first-round bye and then advanced with an 80-67 quarterfinal win over South Dakota State. Over their last five games, the Tommies have recently won over South Dakota State, Omaha, and North Dakota State, while recently losing to Denver earlier in the stretch.
Saint Thomas has been one of the most efficient offensive teams in the conference this season. The Tommies average 83.2 points per game while allowing just 71.8 points per contest. They shoot an impressive 51% from the field, grab 33.2 rebounds per game, and average 17.1 assists per contest, reflecting strong ball movement and offensive efficiency. Defensively they remain solid with 2.7 blocks and 7.5 steals per game.
In their quarterfinal win over South Dakota State, Ben Oosterbaan led the team with 23 points on 8-of-13 shooting, delivering a highly efficient scoring performance inside the arc. Nolan Minessale led the Tommies in rebounding with 8 boards while also contributing 6 assists, showcasing his all-around impact. Saint Thomas shot 51% from the field and 44% from three-point range, while committing only eight turnovers, showing the disciplined offense that has helped them reach the semifinal.
North Dakota vs Saint Thomas Pick
North Dakota vs Saint Thomas Spread Pick
- Pick: Saint Thomas-Minnesota Tommies - Moneyline
North Dakota comes into this game with confidence after a strong quarterfinal performance, but the Fighting Hawks rely heavily on individual scoring outbursts like the one from Greyson Uelmen. Saint Thomas, on the other hand, has been one of the most balanced teams in the Summit League all season. With elite shooting efficiency, strong ball movement, and better defensive numbers, the Tommies have the tools to control the tempo and limit North Dakota’s scoring opportunities.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nick Parsons | +2,504.00 |
| 2 |  Mark Zinno | +1,729.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vinciletti | +1,001.00 |
| 4 |  Mike Lundin | +572.00 |
| 5 |  Stephen Nover | +258.00 |
North Dakota vs Saint Thomas Total Pick
- Pick: Over
I like the over in this matchup because both teams have shown the ability to score efficiently. Saint Thomas averages over 83 points per game, and North Dakota plays at a fast pace that often leads to higher-scoring contests. With players like Nolan Minessale and Greyson Uelmen capable of explosive scoring performances, I expect both teams to find success offensively throughout this semifinal.
Final Score Prediction: Saint Thomas-Minnesota 86, North Dakota 78
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