North Texas Mean Green at Tulane Green Wave, Picks and Prediction for Sunday, January 18, 2026
The North Texas Mean Green (10-7, 1-3 American Athletic Conference) travel to New Orleans, Louisiana to face the Tulane Green Wave (12-5, 3-1 AAC) on Sunday, January 18, 2026 at Devlin Fieldhouse. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
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North Texas Mean Green Analysis
North Texas enters this matchup leading the AAC in scoring defense, allowing just 64.9 points per game while forcing turnovers and disrupting opponent rhythms. Offensively, the Mean Green average around 69.8 points per game but have struggled on the road, where they’re about 1-4 in true road games, scoring just 57.2 points per game away from Denton.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 69.8
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Points Allowed: 64.9
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FG%: 44%
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Rebounds per game: 30.2
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Assists per game: 12.9
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Turnovers per game: 11.5
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sean Higgs | +1,840.00 |
| 2 |  Steve Seagrave | +1,599.00 |
| 3 |  Joe Duffy | +1,403.00 |
| 4 |  Ben Burns | +768.00 |
| 5 |  Ross Benjamin | +378.00 |
Strengths
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Elite defense: The Mean Green lead the AAC in limiting opponent scoring and three-point percentage defense.
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Turnover pressure: Forcing turnovers fuels transition opportunities.
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Balanced contributors: Je’Shawn Stevenson, Will McClendon, and David Terrell Jr. combine for a large share of North Texas scoring.
Weaknesses
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Road struggles: North Texas’ offensive efficiency dips significantly away from home.
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Limited rebounding: Smaller rebounding totals can lead to second-chance opportunities for opponents.
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Scoring dips: Below-average offensive output in conference road games challenges consistency.
Tulane Green Wave Analysis
Tulane has been one of the AAC’s more efficient offensive teams, averaging 73.9 points per game and making nearly 8 three-pointers per contest. The Wave have won at home and shown ability to make timely perimeter shots, but their defense can be stretched by patient ball movement.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 73.9
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Points Allowed: 73.4
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FG%: 43%
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Rebounds per game: 31.6
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Assists per game: 13.3
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Turnovers per game: 10.0
Strengths
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Perimeter shooting: Tulane knocks down more threes per game than North Texas allows.
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Balanced offense: Multiple players are capable of scoring in double figures.
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Home court: The Green Wave have been strong at Devlin Fieldhouse.
Weaknesses
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Defensive lapses: Allowing near 73 points per game can be exploited by disciplined offenses.
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Rebounding: Slight disadvantage on the glass limits second-chance scoring.
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Turnover margin: Slightly higher turnover rate than ideal in tight AAC matchups.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
North Texas
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Je’Shawn Stevenson (G): Leading scorer at 16.6 PPG, critical in transition and spot scoring.
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David Terrell Jr. (G): Secondary playmaker with 4.7 APG, creating looks for others.
Tulane
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Rowan Brumbaugh (G): Star scorer at 18.7 PPG with rebounding and playmaking (4.8 RPG, 3.6 APG).
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Asher Woods (G): Recent double-digit outputs give offensive balance.
North Texas vs Tulane Prediction Reasoning
This American Athletic Conference game projects as a defensive and tempo-controlled contest. North Texas’ stingy defense and ability to force turnovers keeps it competitive, but Tulane’s home-court advantage and perimeter production give the Green Wave an edge.
Final Score Projection: Tulane 74, North Texas 68
Best Picks
- Tulane -1,5
- Over 134.5 total points
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