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Northern Iowa Panthers vs Bradley Braves Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 7 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/07/2026, 05:15 AM ET

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The Northern Iowa Panthers and Bradley Braves meet in the MVC Tournament Semifinal on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on CBSSN. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. For more expert analysis on today’s matchups, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for additional tournament predictions.

Northern Iowa Panthers Building Momentum in St. Louis

The Northern Iowa Panthers enter the semifinal with a 21-12 overall record and an 11-9 MVC record. Northern Iowa has already picked up two wins in the conference tournament, advancing with victories over Evansville and Illinois State. Over their last five games, the Panthers have recently won over Illinois State, Evansville, and Drake, while recently losing to Illinois State and Southern Illinois.

Northern Iowa has relied on defense and efficient offense throughout the season. The Panthers average 69.3 points per game while allowing just 60.8 points per contest, making them one of the top defensive teams in the conference. They shoot 47% from the field, grab 32.3 rebounds per game, and average 14.5 assists per contest, reflecting solid ball movement. Defensively, they contribute 6.6 steals and 3.1 blocks per game, helping limit opponents’ scoring opportunities.

In their quarterfinal victory over Illinois State, Leon Bond III led the Panthers with 19 points on an efficient 9-of-13 shooting performance, giving Northern Iowa strong interior scoring. Ben Schwieger controlled the boards with 8 rebounds, helping the Panthers dominate the glass. Northern Iowa also shot 54% from the field and 42% from three-point range, a sign of their offensive efficiency heading into the semifinal matchup.

Bradley Braves Survive Marathon Quarterfinal Battle

The Bradley Braves come into the semifinal with a 21-11 overall record and a 13-7 MVC record. Bradley advanced after a dramatic 90-84 double-overtime win over Valparaiso in the quarterfinal round. Over their last five games, the Braves have recently won over Valparaiso, Murray State, and Illinois State, while recently losing to UIC and Valparaiso earlier in the stretch.

Bradley averages 77.5 points per game while allowing 73.4 points per contest. The Braves shoot 44% from the field, collect 34.6 rebounds per game, and average 13.2 assists per contest. Defensively, they generate 7.9 steals and 3.2 blocks per game, giving them an aggressive defensive presence that often leads to transition scoring opportunities.

In their double-overtime win over Valparaiso, Jaquan Johnson led the Braves with 18 points while also contributing 5 assists, playing a major role in orchestrating the offense during the extended game. AJ Smith led Bradley on the glass with 9 rebounds, helping the Braves stay competitive despite being slightly outrebounded overall. Bradley showed resilience in the victory, forcing 19 turnovers and converting key free throws late in the game to secure the win.

Northern Iowa vs Bradley Pick

Northern Iowa vs Bradley Spread Pick

  • Pick: Northern Iowa Panthers - Moneyline

Northern Iowa enters this matchup with strong defensive momentum and efficient offensive performances in the tournament. The Panthers have allowed just 111 total points in their two tournament games, showing their ability to control the pace and frustrate opponents. Meanwhile, Bradley is coming off a physically exhausting double-overtime game, which could impact their energy levels in the semifinal. With Northern Iowa’s defensive discipline and efficient shooting, the Panthers have the edge in this matchup.

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Northern Iowa vs Bradley Total Pick

  • Pick: Under

I like the under in this matchup because Northern Iowa typically plays at a slower pace and relies heavily on defense. The Panthers allow just 60.8 points per game, one of the best defensive numbers in the conference. Bradley’s offense has shown flashes of scoring ability, but after a double-overtime game the Braves may not push the pace as aggressively. With Northern Iowa dictating tempo and focusing on half-court defense, this game projects to stay under the total.

Final Score Prediction: Northern Iowa 71, Bradley 66

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