Northern Kentucky Norse vs Green Bay Phoenix Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 8 2026
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The Northern Kentucky Norse face the Green Bay Phoenix in the Barbasol Horizon League Championship Second Round on Sunday afternoon at Corteva Coliseum in Indianapolis, Indiana. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 PM and the game will be available on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. For more daily predictions and analysis across the college basketball landscape, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks.
Norse Bringing Offensive Firepower
Northern Kentucky enters this Horizon League tournament matchup with a 19-13 overall record and a 10-10 conference mark. The Norse have been one of the higher-scoring teams in the Horizon League this season and are capable of producing offense in bunches. Over their last five games, Northern Kentucky has recently won over Oakland 85-84, recently lost to Wright State 92-91, recently won over Cleveland State 81-70, recently lost to Youngstown State 64-58, and recently won over Purdue Fort Wayne 87-71.
Offensively, the Norse average 82.5 points per game, making them one of the most productive scoring teams in the conference. They shoot 47 percent from the field and average 15.5 assists per contest, demonstrating their ability to move the ball and create efficient scoring opportunities. Northern Kentucky also averages 35.4 rebounds per game while contributing defensively with 3.6 blocks and 8.8 steals per contest.
One of the most notable strengths for Northern Kentucky is their ability to generate turnovers and turn them into transition offense. Their 8.8 steals per game highlight an aggressive defensive style that can quickly shift momentum in their favor. If the Norse can maintain their scoring pace while forcing turnovers, they could put significant pressure on the Green Bay defense.
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Phoenix Building Momentum
Green Bay comes into this Horizon League tournament matchup with an 18-14 overall record and a 12-8 conference mark. The Phoenix have been playing solid basketball recently and have shown the ability to control games with efficient scoring and disciplined play. In their last five games, Green Bay has recently won over Purdue Fort Wayne 64-56, recently won over Youngstown State 85-63, recently lost to Detroit Mercy 74-70, recently won over Oakland 73-68, and recently lost to Milwaukee 75-72.
The Phoenix average 74.8 points per game while allowing 74.2 points per game this season. They shoot 48 percent from the field and average 13.8 assists per game, showing solid offensive efficiency when they are executing their game plan. Green Bay also averages 31.5 rebounds per contest while contributing 2.7 blocks and 4.6 steals per game defensively.
Green Bay’s biggest strength has been their ability to shoot efficiently from the field. Shooting 48 percent as a team allows them to stay competitive even in games where the pace slows down. If the Phoenix can limit turnovers and control the tempo, they may be able to keep Northern Kentucky from turning the game into a fast-paced scoring contest.
Northern Kentucky Norse vs Green Bay Phoenix Pick
Northern Kentucky Norse vs Green Bay Phoenix Pick
- Northern Kentucky Norse - Spread
Northern Kentucky enters this matchup with the more explosive offense, averaging over 82 points per game this season. Their ability to generate steals and create transition opportunities could play a major role against a Green Bay team that prefers a more controlled pace.
The Norse also have an advantage in rebounding and defensive pressure, which could lead to additional possessions throughout the game. If Northern Kentucky can force turnovers and maintain their offensive rhythm, they should be able to build enough momentum to cover the spread in this Horizon League tournament matchup.
Northern Kentucky Norse vs Green Bay Phoenix Total Pick
- Over #
I like the over in this matchup because Northern Kentucky tends to play in high-scoring games due to their fast pace and aggressive offense. With an average of 82.5 points per game, they often push totals upward quickly.
Green Bay has also shown the ability to score efficiently when their offense is working, especially with their 48 percent field goal shooting. If both teams find their rhythm offensively, this game could easily turn into a higher-scoring tournament contest.
Final Score Prediction: Northern Kentucky Norse 83, Green Bay Phoenix 76
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