Northwestern Wildcats vs USC Trojans Picks and Prediction for Wednesday January 21 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/21/2026, 12:50 AM ET
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The Northwestern Wildcats head west to face the USC Trojans at the Galen Center on Wednesday, January 21, 2026, with tipoff scheduled for 11:00 PM EST. This late-night Big Ten matchup will be televised on BTN. At the time of this writing, moneyline odds were not released for this game. The total is set at 153.5 points with both the Over and Under priced at -110, while USC enters as a 6.5-point home favorite. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily college hoops betting insight.

Wildcats Searching for a Breakthrough on the Road

Northwestern comes into this matchup with an 8-10 overall record and has struggled to string together positive results away from home. Over their last five games, the Wildcats have recently lost to Nebraska, Illinois, Rutgers in overtime, Michigan State, and Minnesota, a stretch that reflects ongoing challenges against conference competition.

From a statistical standpoint, Northwestern is averaging 77.3 points per game while allowing 71.9 points per contest. The Wildcats are shooting an efficient 47% from the field and averaging 33.2 rebounds per game, but defensive lapses in key moments have cost them close games.

One strength for Northwestern has been ball movement. The Wildcats average 17.9 assists per game, showing an ability to share the ball and generate quality looks, even when results have not followed.

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Trojans Look to Reassert Control at Home

USC enters Wednesday night with a strong 14-4 overall record and has been competitive on its home floor. In their last five games, the Trojans have recently beaten Maryland and picked up an overtime road win at Minnesota, while also losing to Purdue, Michigan State, and Michigan.

Offensively, USC is averaging 83.4 points per game while allowing 75.8 points per contest. The Trojans are shooting 47% from the field and controlling the boards with 37.6 rebounds per game, often overpowering opponents inside.

USCโ€™s interior defense and athleticism stand out as major advantages. The Trojans average 5.9 blocks and 6.7 steals per game, using length and pressure to disrupt offenses and turn defense into fast-break scoring opportunities.

Wildcats vs Trojans Pick

Northwestern Wildcats vs USC Trojans Pick

  • Pick: USC -6.5

USCโ€™s scoring depth, rebounding edge, and defensive athleticism give them a clear advantage in this matchup. Northwestern has struggled to close games against quality opponents, and USCโ€™s ability to apply pressure at both ends should allow them to build and maintain a comfortable lead. Laying the points with the Trojans is the preferred play.

Northwestern Wildcats vs USC Trojans Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 153.5

I am taking the Over in this matchup because both teams play at a pace that supports scoring, and USC in particular pushes tempo at home. Northwesternโ€™s offense is capable of contributing enough points to help this game reach the mid-150s, making the Over the stronger option.

Final Score Prediction:

USC 82, Northwestern 72

How To Bet This Matchup

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