Ohio State Buckeyes vs Washington Huskies Pick & Prediction for Sunday, January 11, 2026
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The Ohio State Buckeyes travel to Seattle to take on the Washington Huskies at Alaska Airlines Arena, with tip-off set for 6:00 PM ET on Peacock. This one profiles as a tight, high-scoring Big Ten clash: both teams are efficient offensively, both prefer to play with pace, and the spread basically says “coin flip.” Be ready for all the college basketball action with our free college basketball picks.
Ohio State Buckeyes Preview: Thornton Drives an Elite-Efficiency Offense
Ohio State enters 11-4 overall (3-2 Big Ten) and they’ve been consistently productive on the offensive end, averaging 83.7 PPG while shooting 50% from the field. That’s a clean, sustainable scoring profile—especially for a road team catching points.
The headliner is Bruce Thornton (20.0 PPG), and the efficiency is loud: 56.4% FG with heavy minutes (36.2 MPG). He’s the type of guard who travels because he doesn’t need everything to be perfect—he can score in structure, in broken possessions, and at the line. Ohio State also shares the ball well (16.3 assists per game) and doesn’t rely on hero-ball to generate good looks.
Recent form is solid too: OSU just won at Oregon (72-62), and they’ve already shown they can handle this Big Ten road swing.
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Washington Huskies Preview: Steinbach Is a Matchup Problem, and UW Can Score in Bunches
Washington comes in 9-6 (1-3 Big Ten), but don’t let the league record fool you—this offense is legit, averaging 81.7 PPG. The Huskies also rebound well (39.4 RPG) and have a real interior centerpiece in Hannes Steinbach (18.2 PPG, 11.2 RPG) on excellent efficiency (59.5% FG). That’s a huge deal against an Ohio State team that doesn’t block many shots (2.5 BPG) and can be pressured on the glass.
The question for Washington is whether they can string together enough stops. They’re allowing 73.1 PPG, and in their last two conference games they’ve given up 81 (Purdue) and 90 (Indiana). If Ohio State is getting clean looks early, this can turn into a possession game where Washington has to keep scoring to keep up.
Matchup Factors
- Shot-making edge (OSU): Ohio State’s 50% FG is a major separator in a near pick’em-type matchup.
- Interior edge (UW): Steinbach’s 18.2 PPG / 11.2 RPG gives Washington a steady, physical scoring base.
- Tempo screams points: Both teams average 81+ PPG, and neither defense looks dominant by the numbers.
- Close-game script: ESPN’s predictor is basically a toss-up (OSU 51.5%), so taking points has value.
Ohio State vs Washington Prediction
ATS Pick: Ohio State +2.5 In a game that projects as extremely tight, I’ll take the points with the more efficient shooting team and the best perimeter scorer on the floor. Thornton’s shot quality + OSU’s ball movement should keep them from falling into long droughts, and that matters a lot when you’re catching +2.5.
Total Pick: Over 153.5 Both teams are built to score: 83.7 PPG (OSU) vs 81.7 PPG (UW), and Washington’s recent defensive results suggest they can be pulled into a track meet. If UW is scoring through Steinbach and OSU is answering with Thornton and efficient half-court execution, this total is very reachable.
Final Score Prediction
Ohio State 79, Washington 77
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