Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia Southern Eagles Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 4 2026
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The Old Dominion Monarchs face the Georgia Southern Eagles in the Sun Belt Championship Second Round on Wednesday night at the Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 PM ET with television coverage on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released for this matchup. For additional analysis and predictions on today’s college basketball slate, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks.
Old Dominion Building Momentum After First Round Win
Old Dominion enters this second-round matchup with a 12-20 overall record and a 7-11 mark in Sun Belt play. The Monarchs advanced in the tournament after recently winning over UL Monroe 87-80 in the first round. Over their last five games, Old Dominion has recently won over UL Monroe, Georgia State, and Louisiana while recently losing to Marshall and Southern Miss.
Statistically, Old Dominion averages 75.6 points per game while allowing 77.6 points per contest. The Monarchs shoot 44% from the field, collect 35.1 rebounds per game, and average 12.9 assists per contest. On the defensive end they contribute 5.8 steals and 3.3 blocks per game, showing the ability to create disruption but sometimes struggling to slow opposing offenses.
In their first-round victory, KC Shaw delivered a standout performance with 25 points and 9 rebounds, leading Old Dominion in both scoring and rebounding while also dishing 7 assists. The Monarchs shot 50% from the field and controlled the boards 36-32 in the win. However, the quick turnaround after Tuesday’s game could be a factor as they now face a rested Georgia Southern squad.
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Georgia Southern Opens Tournament With Fresh Legs
Georgia Southern comes into the second round with a 16-15 overall record and an 8-10 conference record, earning a first-round bye before this matchup. Over their last five games, the Eagles have recently won over Marshall while recently losing to James Madison, Appalachian State, and Georgia State.
From a statistical standpoint, Georgia Southern has been one of the higher-scoring teams in the Sun Belt. The Eagles average 80.4 points per game while allowing 79.9 points per contest. They shoot 43% from the field, average 34.7 rebounds per game, and contribute 11 assists per contest while also generating 8.1 steals per game, which ranks among the stronger defensive pressure numbers in the conference.
In their most recent game against Marshall, Tyren Moore led the Eagles with 26 points, shooting efficiently while helping Georgia Southern explode for 99 points in the win. Alden Applewhite led the team on the glass with 6 rebounds, and the Eagles shot 53% from the field and 50% from three-point range. With the advantage of extra rest thanks to the first-round bye, Georgia Southern should be able to push the tempo against a Monarchs team coming off a game the night before.
Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia Southern Eagles Pick
Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia Southern Eagles Spread Pick
- Pick: Georgia Southern Eagles Moneyline
Georgia Southern has the edge in this matchup due to the rest advantage and the stronger offensive profile. Old Dominion is coming off a physical first-round game and now has to play again on a short turnaround, while the Eagles enter the matchup fresh after their bye. With Georgia Southern capable of scoring in bunches and applying defensive pressure with steals, the Eagles should be able to control the pace and pull out the win.
Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia Southern Eagles Total Pick
- Pick: Over 155
I like the over in this matchup because both teams play at a relatively quick pace and have defensive numbers that allow points. Georgia Southern averages over 80 points per game and just scored 99 in their most recent outing, while Old Dominion has shown they can push games into the 80s when their offense gets rolling. With the Monarchs potentially playing faster to keep up with the Eagles, I expect enough scoring from both sides to push this game over the total.
Final Score Prediction: Georgia Southern 84, Old Dominion 78
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