Ole Miss Rebels vs Arkansas Razorbacks Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 14 2026
The Ole Miss Rebels face the Arkansas Razorbacks in the SEC Tournament Semifinal on Saturday, March 14, 2026, at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET with television coverage on ESPN. According to DraftKings, Arkansas is favored by -8.5 with the total set at 158.5, while Ole Miss is +285 on the moneyline and Arkansas is -360. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily betting insights and predictions.
Rebels Riding Tournament Momentum
The Ole Miss Rebels enter the SEC Tournament semifinal with a 15-19 overall record and a 4-14 conference record. Despite a difficult regular season, Ole Miss has made an impressive run in the tournament after recently winning over Alabama 80-79 in the quarterfinal, following earlier wins over Georgia and Texas. In their last five games, the Rebels have recently won over Alabama, Georgia, and Texas while recently losing to South Carolina and Vanderbilt.
Ole Miss has averaged 75.3 points per game while allowing 75.6 points per game this season. The Rebels shoot 44% from the field and average 34.2 rebounds and 13.6 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 4.3 blocks and 7.2 steals per game, showing a team capable of creating defensive pressure but sometimes struggling with consistency against high-powered offenses.
In their quarterfinal win over Alabama, Ole Miss relied on AJ Storr, who led the Rebels with 17 points while providing timely scoring throughout the game. On the boards, James Scott led Ole Miss with 10 rebounds, helping the Rebels secure a rebounding advantage in a tightly contested matchup. Ole Miss also shot 42% from three-point range in that game, and their ability to maintain efficient perimeter shooting could be critical on the short turnaround heading into this semifinal.
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Razorbacks Bring Explosive Offense Into Semifinal
The Arkansas Razorbacks enter the semifinal with a 24-8 overall record and a 13-5 conference record, establishing themselves as one of the top teams in the SEC this season. Arkansas advanced to this round after recently winning over Oklahoma 82-79 in the SEC Tournament quarterfinal. The Razorbacks have recently won over Oklahoma, Missouri, Texas, and Texas A&M while recently losing to Florida in their last five games.
Arkansas has been one of the most explosive offensive teams in the conference this season, averaging 90.2 points per game while allowing 79.9 points per game. The Razorbacks shoot 50% from the field and average 35.8 rebounds and 17.1 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 5.2 blocks and 7.3 steals per game, giving them the ability to disrupt opposing offenses while maintaining strong scoring efficiency.
In their quarterfinal victory over Oklahoma, Arkansas received a dominant performance from Darius Acuff Jr., who led the Razorbacks with 37 points while shooting efficiently from the field and converting 10 of 12 free throws. On the glass, Trevon Brazile led Arkansas with 11 rebounds, including several offensive boards that created second-chance opportunities. Arkansas also played a relatively clean game with only seven turnovers, demonstrating the type of composure needed in tournament play.
Ole Miss vs Arkansas Pick
Ole Miss vs Arkansas Spread Pick
- Pick: Arkansas -8.5
Arkansas enters this matchup with a clear offensive advantage and has been one of the highest-scoring teams in the SEC this season. While Ole Miss has shown resilience during its tournament run, the Razorbacks’ ability to score efficiently and generate second-chance opportunities should allow them to gradually pull away. With Arkansas averaging over 90 points per game and coming off a strong offensive performance, the Razorbacks have a strong chance to cover the spread.
Ole Miss vs Arkansas Total Pick
- Pick: Over 158.5
I like the over in this matchup because Arkansas plays at a fast pace and consistently pushes games into high-scoring territory. Ole Miss has also been scoring efficiently during the tournament, including an 80-point outing against Alabama. With both teams capable of generating offense and Arkansas pushing the tempo, I expect this game to produce enough scoring to clear the total.
Final Score Prediction: Arkansas 89, Ole Miss 80
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