Ole Miss Rebels vs Auburn Tigers Picks & Predictions February 28,2026
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Two SEC teams at opposite ends of the conference race meet in Auburn, AL, with Ole Miss (11‑17, 3‑12 SEC) on the road against Auburn (15‑13, 6‑9 SEC). Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
Auburn Tigers Analysis
Auburn has shown flashes of offensive firepower this season, averaging roughly 83.5 points per game and ranking near the top of the SEC in free throws attempted and made, they’re aggressive at the rim and capitalize at the line. Their turnover rate remains respectable and they crash the offensive glass well for extra scoring opportunities.
Team Strengths
Free‑Throw Dominance: Auburn is among the SEC leaders in free throws attempted and made, often turning half‑court sets into easy points at the stripe.
Balanced Scoring Options: Forward Keyshawn Hall leads the team with 20.8 PPG and 7 RPG, giving them a consistent go‑to scorer in close games.
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Recent Big Win: Auburn snapped a skid with a clutch 75‑74 comeback at Kentucky, showing they can grind out tough road victories late in the season.
Key Players
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Keyshawn Hall (F): 20.8 PPG, 7 RPG.
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KeShawn Murphy (F): Important second rebounder and inside presence.
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Tahaad Pettiford (G): Playmaker who contributes scoring and assists.
Weaknesses
Inconsistency: Auburn has dropped games to comparable SEC foes, including a recent loss at Oklahoma and to Mississippi State, raising questions about consistency on both ends.
Defensive Flashes Only: While capable of scoring, they haven’t always locked down defensively against high‑tempo teams.
Ole Miss Rebels Analysis
Ole Miss has endured a difficult 2025‑26 campaign, sitting near the bottom of the SEC standings with a struggling record. Their offense has produced about 75 points per game, but defense and efficiency issues have kept them from stringing together wins.
Team Strengths
Turnover Discipline: Ole Miss is among the nation’s better teams at limiting turnovers, often keeping possessions alive and reducing easy points for opponents.
Veteran Scorers: Guard AJ Storr and forward Malik Dia have paced the team with double‑digit scoring most of the season.
Upset Potential: They showed promise in non‑conference play earlier in the season and have avoided being blown out in several SEC games.
Key Players
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AJ Storr (G): Team‑leading scorer at 14.6 PPG.
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Malik Dia (F): Roughly 13.9 PPG with inside scoring punch.
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Ilias Kamardine (G): Floor general and secondary scoring option.
Weaknesses
Struggles in Conference: Ole Miss has dropped many SEC contests and recently lost by double digits to Florida, exposing defensive lapses.
Rebounding & Size: They were significantly outrebounded in their last meeting with Auburn, which Auburn turned into second‑chance points.
Recent Trends & Context
These teams met earlier this season in Oxford, with Auburn earning a 78‑66 road win behind strong rebounding and free‑throw shooting. Auburn has won the season series and holds a strong historical edge, especially at home. Ole Miss recently suffered a loss to Florida, dropping their confidence further. Auburn also notched a clutch win over Kentucky last week, showing they can bounce back in close spots.
Auburn vs Ole Miss Prediction Reasoning
This game shapes up as a control‑of‑tempo and paint dominance battle. Auburn’s ability to score efficiently inside, get to the free‑throw line, and rebound gives them a distinct edge — particularly at home where they’ve historically dominated Ole Miss. While the Rebels’ turnover discipline keeps them competitive, their scoring deficiencies and rebounding disadvantage make an upset less likely.
Final Score Projection: Auburn 83, Ole Miss 71
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