Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 11 2026
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The Ole Miss Rebels and Texas Longhorns meet in the SEC Tournament 1st Round on Wednesday at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with television coverage on the SEC Network. Texas enters the matchup as a 5.5-point favorite, and the game total is set at 150.5. Both teams will look to gain momentum in the conference tournament after inconsistent regular-season finishes. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more betting insight and daily selections.
Ole Miss Hoping to Find Offensive Balance
The Ole Miss Rebels enter the SEC Tournament with a 12-19 overall record and struggled in road environments throughout the season. Ole Miss has recently won over Auburn while recently losing to South Carolina, Vanderbilt, LSU, and Florida. That recent stretch highlights a team that has been competitive in several games but has struggled to close them out.
The Rebels average 75.3 points per game while allowing 75.9 points per contest. Ole Miss shoots 44% from the field, averages 34.1 rebounds per game, and produces 13.9 assists per contest. Defensively, the Rebels record 4.2 blocks and 7.0 steals per game, showing some activity on the defensive end even though the scoring margin has remained close.
One key factor for Ole Miss in this matchup is controlling pace and limiting mistakes. The Rebels have been involved in several high-scoring games recently, including multiple overtime contests, which suggests they are comfortable playing in faster-paced matchups. If Ole Miss can keep the offense flowing and avoid turnovers, it could keep the game competitive.
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Texas Looking to Use Offensive Efficiency
The Texas Longhorns enter the tournament with an 18-13 overall record and have been more competitive away from home during conference play. Texas has recently won over Texas A&M while recently losing to Oklahoma, Arkansas, Florida, and Georgia. That stretch shows a team capable of competing against strong opponents but still searching for consistency.
The Longhorns average 84.4 points per game while allowing 76.8 points per contest. Texas shoots an impressive 49% from the field, averages 37.7 rebounds per game, and produces 12.3 assists per contest. Defensively, Texas records 2.8 blocks and 5.9 steals per game, relying more on offensive efficiency than defensive disruption.
The biggest advantage for Texas in this matchup is its scoring efficiency. The Longhorns average nearly nine points more per game than Ole Miss and shoot significantly better from the field. If Texas establishes offensive rhythm early and controls the boards, it could dictate the pace of the game.
Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Pick
Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Pick
- Pick: Texas Longhorns -5.5
Texas enters this matchup with the stronger offensive numbers and a significant advantage in shooting efficiency. Ole Miss has struggled to consistently defend high-scoring teams, and the Longhorns have the offensive firepower to exploit that weakness. If Texas pushes the tempo and controls the rebounding battle, it should be able to cover the spread.
Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Total Pick
- Pick: Over 150.5
I like the over in this matchup because Texas averages more than 84 points per game and has been involved in several high-scoring contests this season. Ole Miss has also played in several games that pushed into the 150 range, especially when the pace increases. If both teams find their rhythm offensively, this matchup could easily climb past the posted total.
Final Score Prediction: Texas Longhorns 82, Ole Miss Rebels 74
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