Oregon Ducks vs Gonzaga Bulldogs Picks and Predictions for Sunday December 21, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 12/21/2025, 12:40 AM ET
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Oregon and No. 7 Gonzaga meet Sunday evening at the Moda Center in Portland, with two programs moving in different directions. Tip-off is at 6:00 PM ET on Peacock, and this neutral-site matchup favors Gonzaga heavily according to ESPN Analytics. The Bulldogs enter at 11-1, while Oregon sits at 6-5 and is still searching for consistency early in Big Ten play. Big board, bigger value โ€” see our winning college basketball predictions.

Oregon Preview

Oregon has won two straight games, both at home, with decisive victories over Portland and UC Davis. Those wins followed a rough stretch that included losses to UCLA, USC, and Creighton, all games where shooting dipped. The Ducks average 77.6 points per game but allow 73.6, and that margin becomes problematic against elite offensive teams. Jackson Shelstad leads Oregon with 16.2 points and 5.1 assists per game, but shooting has been below average at 39.7 percent from the field.

Kwame Evans Jr. provides balance inside with 13.6 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, giving Oregon a needed presence on the glass. Oregon averages 38.4 rebounds per game, which is solid, but ball movement can stall against teams that pressure passing lanes. The Ducks average just 14.8 assists per game and rely heavily on individual shot creation. That approach has struggled against high-level opponents so far this season.

Gonzaga Preview

Gonzaga comes in riding four wins in the last five games, with the lone loss coming against Michigan in a high-scoring setback. The Bulldogs are putting up 92.4 points per game while allowing only 66.3, one of the strongest scoring margins among top programs. Braden Huff leads the way with 19.0 points per game while shooting 67.8 percent from the field. Graham Ike adds 17.0 points and 8.1 rebounds, giving Gonzaga a reliable interior option.

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The Bulldogs also separate themselves with ball movement and depth. Gonzaga averages 20.0 assists per game and shoots 52 percent from the field as a team, compared to Oregonโ€™s 43 percent. Mario Saint-Supery runs the offense effectively with 4.7 assists per game, and Gonzagaโ€™s rebounding edge at 44.0 per game adds extra possessions. The ability to score inside and out makes it difficult for opponents to stop the Bulldogs.

Gonzaga vs Oregon Prediction

This matchup favors Gonzaga in nearly every statistical category, particularly shooting. Oregonโ€™s recent wins came against lighter competition, and the Ducks have struggled when facing teams that can push the pace while staying efficient. Gonzagaโ€™s balance and experience should show over 40 minutes on a neutral floor. The pick here is Gonzaga to win comfortably, with a projected final score of Gonzaga 88, Oregon 72.

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