Oregon State Beavers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs Picks and Predictions for Monday March 9 2026
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The Oregon State Beavers and Gonzaga Bulldogs meet in the West Coast Conference Tournament - Semifinal on Monday, March 9, 2026 at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on ESPN. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily betting insights and analysis.
Oregon State Survives Quarterfinal to Reach the Semifinal
Oregon State enters this semifinal matchup with a 17-15 overall record and a 9-9 mark in WCC play. The Beavers advanced through the quarterfinal round with a 78-77 win over San Francisco. In their last five games, Oregon State has recently won over San Francisco, San Diego, and Pepperdine, while it has recently lost to Santa Clara and Seattle.
The Beavers averaged 71.4 points per game this season while allowing 74.4 points per contest. Oregon State shot 43% from the field and averaged 32.4 rebounds and 13.8 assists per game. On the defensive side, the Beavers posted 3.6 blocks and 5.7 steals per game, numbers that reflect a team capable of disrupting opponents but also one that has had to work hard for consistent defensive results.
A key tournament storyline for Oregon State is the dramatic nature of its quarterfinal win. In the 78-77 victory over San Francisco, Josiah Lake II led the Beavers with 18 points while Isaiah Sy pulled down 6 rebounds to lead the team on the glass. Oregon State shot 47% from the field, knocked down 46% from three-point range, and hit 88% of its free throws, which proved crucial in the one-point win. With a short turnaround before facing Gonzaga, maintaining that level of shooting efficiency will be critical.
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Gonzaga Enters the Tournament with Fresh Legs
Gonzaga enters the semifinal with a 28-3 overall record and a 16-2 record in WCC play. The Bulldogs received the bye into this round and will be playing their first game of the tournament. In their last five games, Gonzaga has recently won over Portland, Pacific, San Francisco, and Santa Clara, while recently losing to Saint Mary’s.
The Bulldogs have been one of the most productive offensive teams in the conference this season, averaging 86.0 points per game while allowing 66.3 points per contest. Gonzaga shoots an impressive 51% from the field and averages 40.2 rebounds and 18.2 assists per game. Defensively, the Bulldogs add 3.7 blocks and 8.7 steals per game, helping create extra possessions and maintain pressure on opposing offenses.
One of the key angles entering this semifinal is Gonzaga’s efficiency and rest advantage. In its most recent game, a 70-59 loss to Saint Mary’s, Graham Ike led Gonzaga with 17 points, while Emmanuel Innocenti led the team with 9 rebounds. Despite shooting only 39% from the field, Gonzaga remained competitive throughout the game. With the extra rest from the bye and their season-long offensive efficiency, the Bulldogs will look to bounce back with a stronger shooting performance in this semifinal.
Oregon State Beavers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs Pick
Oregon State Beavers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Pick
- Pick: Gonzaga Bulldogs moneyline
Gonzaga enters this semifinal with the stronger overall profile and the advantage of extra rest after receiving the bye. The Bulldogs average 86.0 points per game and shoot 51% from the field, both significantly higher than Oregon State’s season numbers. While Oregon State showed resilience in its quarterfinal win, the Beavers are coming off a tight one-point game and now face one of the conference’s most efficient teams. Gonzaga’s offensive firepower and depth make them the side I prefer in this matchup.
Oregon State Beavers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs Total Pick
- Pick: Over
I like the over in this game because Gonzaga’s offensive pace often pushes games into higher-scoring territory. The Bulldogs average 86.0 points per game, and Oregon State just scored 78 points in its quarterfinal win while shooting well from the field and from three-point range. With Gonzaga’s offense likely dictating tempo and Oregon State capable of contributing enough scoring, this matchup has the potential to produce a higher total.
Final Score Prediction: Gonzaga Bulldogs 86, Oregon State Beavers 74
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