Prairie View Panthers vs Southern Jaguars Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 14 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/14/2026, 01:35 AM ET
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The Prairie View A&M Panthers face the Southern Jaguars in the SWAC Tournament Final on Saturday, March 14, 2026, at Gateway Center in College Park, Georgia. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET with television coverage on ESPNU. Southern is favored by -3.5 with the total set at 158.5, while Prairie View A&M is +142 on the moneyline and Southern is -170. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily betting insights and predictions.

Panthers Surge Into Championship With Strong Defense

The Prairie View A&M Panthers enter the SWAC Tournament Final with a 17-17 overall record and a 9-9 conference record. Prairie View has made an impressive run through the tournament, most recently winning over Alabama A&M 74-55 in the semifinal round. The Panthers have been on a strong stretch recently, recently winning over Alabama A&M, Bethune-Cookman, Alcorn State twice, and Texas Southern.

Prairie View has been a productive offensive team this season, averaging 79.2 points per game while allowing 76.4 points per game. The Panthers shoot 44% from the field and average 34.0 rebounds and 11.9 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 4.6 blocks and 8.1 steals per game, showing their ability to protect the rim and generate turnovers that can lead to transition opportunities.

In their semifinal win over Alabama A&M, Prairie View delivered an efficient offensive performance while also playing strong defense. Dontae Horne led the team with 25 points, providing the scoring spark that helped Prairie View pull away in the second half. On the boards, Corey Dunning led the Panthers with 10 rebounds, helping Prairie View control the glass while holding Alabama A&M to just 33% shooting from the field.

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Jaguars Seek SWAC Title After Narrow Semifinal Victory

The Southern Jaguars enter the championship game with a 17-16 overall record and an 11-7 conference record. Southern advanced to the final after recently winning over Florida A&M 73-70 in the semifinal round. The Jaguars have been playing well recently, recently winning over Florida A&M, Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Alabama A&M, and Alabama State while recently losing to Bethune-Cookman.

Southern has been a strong offensive team throughout the season, averaging 80.3 points per game while allowing 78.1 points per game. The Jaguars shoot 46% from the field and average 35.4 rebounds and 15.0 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 3.7 blocks and 9.3 steals per game, showing an aggressive defensive approach that frequently pressures opposing ball handlers.

In their semifinal victory over Florida A&M, Southern leaned on a balanced performance to secure the narrow win. Michael Jacobs led the Jaguars with 19 points, while Terrance Dixon Jr. controlled the glass with nine rebounds, helping Southern maintain key possessions throughout the game. With a high-pressure defensive style and strong guard play, the Jaguars have the tools to compete in what should be a tightly contested championship matchup.

Prairie View vs Southern Pick

Prairie View vs Southern Spread Pick

  • Pick: Southern -3.5

Southern enters this championship matchup with a slight statistical edge offensively and a strong defensive pressure style that can disrupt Prairie Viewโ€™s rhythm. While Prairie View has shown impressive momentum during this tournament run, Southernโ€™s ability to generate steals and create extra possessions could make the difference in a close game. With the Jaguarsโ€™ balanced offense and defensive activity, they should be able to cover the small spread.

Prairie View vs Southern Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 158.5

I like the over in this matchup because both teams play at an up-tempo style and average around 80 points per game offensively. Prairie View has shown the ability to score efficiently during this tournament run, while Southernโ€™s aggressive defense often leads to transition opportunities and quick scoring bursts. With two high-scoring SWAC teams meeting for the championship, I expect the pace and offensive production to push this game over the total.

Final Score Prediction: Southern 84, Prairie View A&M 79

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