Purdue Boilermakers vs Ohio State Buckeyes Picks and Prediction for Sunday, March 1, 2026
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The Purdue Boilermakers visit the Ohio State Buckeyes for a Big Ten matchup at Value City Arena on Sunday. The Boilermakers are 22-6 overall and 12-5 in conference play, fifth in the Big Ten standings. Purdue dropped a 76-74 home game to Michigan State in its last outing. Ohio State is 17-11 overall and 9-8 in the Big Ten, currently ninth in the conference, and comes off a 74-57 road loss at Iowa. Stack wins with our free college basketball picks.
Game Information
- Date: Sunday, March 1
- Time: 1:30 PM ET
- Location: Value City Arena, Columbus, OH
- TV: CBS
Purdue Boilermakers Preview
Purdue averages 82.6 points per game while allowing 69.5. Braden Smith leads the offense with averages of 14.8 points and 8.8 assists per game, shooting 47.3% from the field and 40.5% from three-point range. Fletcher Loyer averages 13.4 points per game and provides perimeter shooting at 40.2% from deep. Trey Kaufman-Renn contributes 13.2 points and leads Purdue with 8.8 rebounds per game, giving the Boilermakers a presence in the paint. Purdue shoots 50% from the field as a team, averages 36.1 rebounds and 19.8 assists, and commits just 9.1 turnovers per game. Defensively, Purdue limits opponents to 69.5 points and keeps teams out of transition with disciplined half-court defense.
Injury Report: Caden Pierce is out.
Key Stats – Purdue (Per Game)
- Points: 82.6
- Points Allowed: 69.5
- Rebounds: 36.1
- Assists: 19.8
- Steals: 5.8
- Blocks: 2.8
- Turnovers: 9.1
Ohio State Buckeyes Preview
Ohio State scores an average of 79.5 points per game and allows 73.1. Bruce Thornton leads the Buckeyes with averages of 20.0 points and 3.8 assists per game while shooting 54.2% from the field and 38.0% from three. John Mobley Jr. adds 15.1 points and shoots 40.8% from deep, stretching defenses. Devin Royal averages 14.1 points and leads Ohio State with 5.5 rebounds per game. The Buckeyes shoot 48.6% from the field and average 33.9 rebounds and 14.4 assists. Ohio State commits 10.5 turnovers per contest. Defensively, Ohio State allows 73.1 points per game, and on offense has struggled in recent losses, scoring 57 at Iowa and 60 at Michigan State.
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Injury Report: Christoph Tilly and Brandon Noel are questionable, while Josh Ojianwuna and Myles Herro are out.
Key Stats – Ohio State (Per Game)
- Points: 79.5
- Points Allowed: 73.1
- Rebounds: 33.9
- Assists: 14.4
- Steals: 4.9
- Blocks: 2.5
- Turnovers: 10.5
Purdue Boilermakers vs Ohio State Buckeyes Prediction
Purdue holds advantages in scoring margin, ball movement, and ball protection. The Boilermakers average nearly six more assists per game and commit fewer turnovers, which is critical in a road conference matchup. Ohio State relies heavily on Thornton for scoring, and recent offensive output has dipped against tough, disciplined defenses. Purdue’s rebounding advantage and ability to execute in half-court sets will decide this game. Final Score Prediction: Purdue wins and covers ATS, 79-70.
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