Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons at Green Bay Phoenix, Picks and Prediction for Thursday, February 12, 2026
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The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (14-11, 8-6 Horizon League) travel to Green Bay, WI to face the Green Bay Phoenix (14-12, 9-6 Horizon League) on Thursday, February 12, 2026, at the Kress Events Center. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Analysis
The Mastodons are averaging 79.2 points per game while allowing 76.1 PPG. They shoot well from the field and beyond the arc, ranking among the better 3-point shooting teams in the Horizon League (35.4%). Purdue Fort Wayne has been competitive most of the season, with recent contributions from its leading scorers.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 79.2
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FG%: 47%
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3P%: 35.4%
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Rebounds: 30.2 RPG
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Assists: 14.5 APG
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Points Allowed: 76.1
Strengths
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Corey Hadnot II (G): Leads the team with 20.0 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 3.2 APG, and 1.8 SPG, giving the Mastodons an elite wing presence.
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Scoring balance: Mikale Stevenson (15.0 PPG) complements Hadnot, and the Mastodons can heat up from deep.
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Perimeter shooting: PFW’s effective 3-point shooting spreads defenses and opens driving lanes.
Weaknesses
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Rebounding margin: Purdue Fort Wayne’s rebounding numbers are modest, potentially giving up second-chance points against physical rebounding teams.
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Recent lopsided loss: A 90-61 road loss at Youngstown State showed vulnerability when shots aren’t falling.
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Defensive consistency: Yielding close to 76 PPG requires improved defensive discipline to secure road wins.
Green Bay Phoenix Analysis
Green Bay has been solid at home this season (7-4), including close wins and resilience in one-possession contests. The Phoenix average 75.1 PPG and shoot efficiently from the field, with an offense that generates balanced scoring. Key contributors from the perimeter and paint give Green Bay multiple offensive looks.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 75.1
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FG%: 48%
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3P%: Above average in the conference
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Rebounds: 31.6 RPG
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Assists: 13.7 APG
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Points Allowed: 77.0
Strengths
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Preston Ruedinger (G): A consistent perimeter threat, averaging 11.5 PPG and 2.2 made 3-pointers, shooting 42.2% from deep.
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C.J. O’Hara: Efficient scorer shooting over 50% recently and averaging nearly 14.1 PPG over his last 10 games.
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Home advantage: Green Bay’s strong home record and experience in tight games give them confidence.
Weaknesses
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Offensive rebound rate: Slight rebounding disadvantage may limit second-chance opportunities.
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Turnovers: Perimeter ball movement can occasionally lead to miscues against pressure defenses.
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Close games: While competitive, narrow losses indicate occasional late-game execution issues.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
Purdue Fort Wayne
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Corey Hadnot II (G): Scoring leader and versatile playmaker.
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Mikale Stevenson (G): Secondary scoring threat and defensive playmaker.
Green Bay
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Preston Ruedinger (G): Perimeter specialist who spaces the floor.
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C.J. O’Hara (G): Efficient scorer with recent hot play.
Purdue Fort Wayne vs Green Bay Prediction Reasoning
This Horizon League matchup features two competitive squads with different strengths. Green Bay’s home-court advantage and efficient shooting balance give them a slight edge, especially if they can control possessions and limit transition opportunities.
Final Score Projection: Green Bay 81, Purdue Fort Wayne 77
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