Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Green Bay Phoenix Picks and Prediction for Tuesday March 3 2026
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The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons travel to the Kress Center to face the Green Bay Phoenix on Tuesday, March 3, 2026, with tip-off scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on ESPN+. Green Bay enters this Horizon League matchup as a 6.5-point favorite, with the total set at 146.5, while the moneyline is currently off. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert betting analysis and daily selections.
Purdue Fort Wayne Bringing Offensive Firepower
Purdue Fort Wayne comes into this contest at 17-14 overall and 11-9 in Horizon League play. The Mastodons have gone 3-2 over their last five games, recently defeating IU Indianapolis 87-81 and 83-78, along with a 92-86 win over Cleveland State. They dropped contests to Wright State 74-70 and Northern Kentucky 87-71 during that stretch.
Offensively, Purdue Fort Wayne averages 78.8 points per game while shooting 47% from the field. They are efficient in half-court sets and average 13.9 assists per contest. However, they struggle on the glass, pulling down just 30.2 rebounds per game, which can be a concern against physical teams.
Defensively, the Mastodons allow 77.5 points per game. They average 3.2 blocks and 8.7 steals per contest, using defensive pressure to create transition scoring opportunities. Their games often turn into higher-scoring affairs due to their pace and offensive style.
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Green Bay Looking to Protect Home Court
Green Bay enters the matchup at 17-14 overall and 12-8 in conference play. The Phoenix have gone 3-2 over their last five games, recently dominating Youngstown State 85-63 and picking up a 73-68 road win over Oakland. They also defeated Purdue Fort Wayne 76-59 earlier this season.
The Phoenix average 75.1 points per game while shooting an efficient 49% from the field. They collect 31.5 rebounds per contest and average 13.7 assists per game, showcasing balanced offensive production.
Defensively, Green Bay allows 74.8 points per game. While they are not a high-steal team at 4.6 per contest, they rely on disciplined half-court defense and strong shooting efficiency to control games. Their previous 17-point win over Purdue Fort Wayne highlights their matchup advantage.
Purdue Fort Wayne vs Green Bay Pick
Purdue Fort Wayne vs Green Bay Spread Pick
- Green Bay Phoenix -6.5
Green Bay already beat Purdue Fort Wayne 76-59 earlier this season, and they hold advantages in shooting efficiency and overall defensive discipline. The Mastodons’ rebounding struggles could be costly in this matchup, especially on the road. With Green Bay playing at home and entering in solid form, laying the points is the stronger play.
Purdue Fort Wayne vs Green Bay Total Pick
- Under 146.5
While both teams can score, Green Bay’s defensive approach and previous 76-59 result suggest this matchup may not reach the high 140s. Purdue Fort Wayne’s offense can stall if perimeter shots are not falling, and Green Bay’s controlled pace should help keep scoring in check. I expect a competitive but slightly lower-scoring game than the posted total.
Final Score Prediction: Green Bay 75, Purdue Fort Wayne 68
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