Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Maryland Terrapins Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 1 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/01/2026, 12:55 AM ET
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The Rutgers Scarlet Knights travel to College Park to take on the Maryland Terrapins at the XFINITY Center on Sunday, March 1, 2026. Tip-off is set for 12:00 PM ET with television coverage on FS1. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily breakdowns and expert analysis from across the country.

Scarlet Knights Trying to Build Momentum

Rutgers enters this matchup with an 11-17 overall record and a 4-13 mark in Big Ten play. The Scarlet Knights have gone 2-3 over their last five games. They most recently lost to Washington 79-72 and dropped a road contest at Minnesota 80-61. However, they did earn a strong 85-72 win at Penn State and defeated Maryland 68-57 earlier this month. They also fell to Nebraska 80-68 during this stretch.

Offensively, Rutgers is averaging 70.3 points per game while allowing 75.8 points per contest. The Scarlet Knights are shooting 42% from the field and pulling down 33.6 rebounds per game. They are also averaging 11.7 assists and 6.0 steals per game, showing flashes of defensive activity.

One area Rutgers can hang its hat on is defensive pressure. The team averages 6.0 steals per game and 3.4 blocks, which helps create extra possessions. When they control tempo and force turnovers, they have proven they can compete, as seen in their recent win over Maryland.

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Terrapins Looking for Home Redemption

Maryland also comes into this contest with an 11-17 overall record and a 4-13 record in Big Ten play. The Terrapins have struggled with consistency, going 2-3 in their last five games. They most recently lost at Nebraska 74-61 but picked up a 64-60 win over Washington prior to that. Maryland also fell at Northwestern 78-74 and lost to Rutgers 68-57 before defeating Iowa 77-70.

The Terrapins are averaging 70.9 points per game while allowing 77.4 points per contest. Maryland is shooting 41% from the field and averages 35.0 rebounds per game, slightly outpacing Rutgers on the glass. They also contribute 10.6 assists, 2.7 blocks, and 4.9 steals per game.

Rebounding could be a key factor for Maryland in this matchup. With a slight edge on the boards, the Terrapins have the potential to generate second-chance opportunities. However, their defensive struggles, allowing 77.4 points per game, have been a major obstacle throughout the season.

Rutgers vs Maryland Pick

Rutgers vs Maryland Pick

  • Pick: Rutgers Scarlet Knights + Points (if spread is set within one possession)

Rutgers already defeated Maryland 68-57 earlier this month, and that result gives them confidence heading into this rematch. The Scarlet Knights have shown they can control the tempo against the Terrapins and limit their offensive rhythm. Given both teams share identical overall and conference records, I believe Rutgers has the slight edge based on the previous head-to-head performance.

Rutgers vs Maryland Total Pick

  • Pick: Under (if total is set at 145 or higher)

Both teams average around 70 points per game but allow more than 75 per contest. However, their earlier meeting finished with just 125 total points. I expect another physical Big Ten battle with half-court sets and defensive emphasis. I see this game staying under a mid-140s total.

Final Score Prediction: Rutgers 71, Maryland 67

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