Saint Bonaventure Bonnies vs Dayton Flyers Picks and Prediction for Friday March 13 2026
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The Saint Bonaventure Bonnies face the Dayton Flyers in the Atlantic 10 Championship Quarterfinal on Friday, March 13, 2026, at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Tipoff is scheduled for 2:00 PM ET with television coverage on USA Net. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting insights.
Saint Bonaventure Carrying Tournament Momentum
Saint Bonaventure enters the Atlantic 10 Championship Quarterfinal with a 17-16 overall record and a 4-14 mark in Atlantic 10 play. The Bonnies advanced through the tournament after recently winning over George Mason 63-57 in the second round and recently winning over La Salle 99-80 in the opening round. Over their last five games, Saint Bonaventure has recently won over George Mason and La Salle while recently losing to Davidson, George Washington in overtime, and George Mason earlier in the regular season.
On the season, Saint Bonaventure averages 77.2 points per game while allowing 74.7 points per contest. The Bonnies shoot 47% from the field and average 35.6 rebounds and 16.2 assists per game. Defensively, Saint Bonaventure averages 4.6 blocks and 7.5 steals per contest, showing the ability to disrupt opponents with active hands and interior protection.
In the tournament win over George Mason, Dasonte Bowen led the Bonnies with 20 points while Frank Mitchell controlled the glass with seven rebounds. Saint Bonaventure held George Mason to just 57 points while forcing 10 turnovers. With two games already played in the tournament, the Bonnies now face a quick turnaround, but their defensive intensity and rebounding effort could keep them competitive in this quarterfinal matchup.
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Dayton Ready After Earning First-Round Bye
Dayton enters the Atlantic 10 Championship Quarterfinal with a 21-10 overall record and a 12-6 conference mark. The Flyers earned a bye into the quarterfinal round thanks to their strong finish in conference play. Over their last five games, Dayton has recently won over Richmond, George Washington, Saint Louis, and Duquesne while recently losing to VCU.
On the season, Dayton averages 75.1 points per game while allowing 70.1 points per contest. The Flyers shoot 45% from the field and average 32.5 rebounds and 14.4 assists per game. Defensively, Dayton contributes 4.1 blocks and 8.5 steals per contest, using pressure defense to create scoring opportunities.
In their most recent game, a loss to VCU, Javon Bennett led the Flyers with 17 points while De'Shayne Montgomery pulled down 10 rebounds to lead the team on the glass. Dayton struggled from three-point range in that game, shooting just 18%, but the Flyers still managed to keep the contest competitive. With additional rest from the tournament bye, Dayton should be well-positioned to reset offensively entering this matchup.
Saint Bonaventure vs Dayton Pick
Saint Bonaventure vs Dayton Spread Pick
- Pick: Dayton Moneyline
Dayton enters this matchup with the advantage of rest after earning the tournament bye, while Saint Bonaventure is playing its third game in three days. The Flyers also have stronger defensive numbers on the season and have shown the ability to limit opponents’ scoring. While Saint Bonaventure has gained momentum with two tournament wins, fatigue could become a factor late in the game. Dayton’s balanced offense and defensive pressure should allow the Flyers to control the tempo and secure the win.
Saint Bonaventure vs Dayton Total Pick
- Pick: Under 145.5
I like the under in this matchup because both teams have shown the ability to slow games down defensively. Dayton allows just over 70 points per game and often relies on half-court defense to limit scoring opportunities. Saint Bonaventure also demonstrated strong defensive intensity in its win over George Mason, holding them to 57 points. With the Bonnies potentially feeling the effects of playing multiple games and Dayton comfortable controlling the pace, I expect a lower-scoring contest.
Final Score Prediction: Dayton 71, Saint Bonaventure 65
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