Saint Bonaventure Bonnies vs George Mason Patriots Picks and Predictions for Thursday March 12 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/12/2026, 02:35 AM ET
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The Saint Bonaventure Bonnies and George Mason Patriots meet in the Atlantic 10 Championship 2nd Round on Thursday, March 12, 2026, at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Tip-off is scheduled for 2:00 PM ET with television coverage on USA Net. George Mason enters the matchup as a -3.5 favorite, while Saint Bonaventure is listed at +3.5, and the total for the game is 143.5 according to DraftKings. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting insights.

Bonnies Ride Offensive Explosion into Second Round

The Saint Bonaventure Bonnies enter this matchup with a 16-16 overall record and a 4-14 mark in Atlantic 10 play this season. The Bonnies advanced to the second round of the Atlantic 10 Championship after defeating La Salle 99-80 in the opening round. Over their last five games, Saint Bonaventure has recently won over La Salle and Rhode Island, while also recently losing to Davidson, George Washington, and George Mason.

Saint Bonaventure averages 76.5 points per game while allowing 75.2 points per game this season. The Bonnies shoot 47% from the field, collect 35.4 rebounds per game, and average 15.9 assists per contest. Defensively, Saint Bonaventure contributes 4.6 blocks and 7.5 steals per game, often relying on interior presence and active perimeter defense to create opportunities.

In their first-round victory, Darryl Simmons II led the Bonnies with 21 points, helping power the offense in a strong shooting performance. Frank Mitchell dominated the glass with 9 rebounds, controlling the paint and providing second-chance opportunities. Saint Bonaventure shot 57% from the field and 54% from three-point range while outrebounding La Salle 41-30. The key factor entering this matchup will be how the Bonnies handle the short turnaround, especially after such a high-scoring and physically demanding performance.

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Patriots Enter Fresh After Statement Win

The George Mason Patriots come into this matchup with a 23-8 overall record and an 11-7 record in Atlantic 10 play, earning a bye into this round of the tournament. Over their last five games, George Mason has recently won over Saint Louis and Saint Bonaventure, while also recently losing to VCU, Saint Joseph’s, and Dayton.

George Mason averages 73.9 points per game while allowing just 67.6 points per game this season. The Patriots shoot 48% from the field, pull down 34.8 rebounds per game, and average 12.9 assists per contest. On the defensive side, George Mason contributes 3.0 blocks and 5.0 steals per game, emphasizing disciplined defense and rebounding to control the pace of games.

In their most recent game, George Mason defeated Saint Louis 86-57 in an impressive performance. Jahari Long led the Patriots with 21 points and also recorded 9 assists, orchestrating the offense efficiently. Emmanuel Kanga dominated the boards with 11 rebounds, including eight on the offensive glass. George Mason shot 58% from the field while holding Saint Louis to 40% shooting, demonstrating strong defensive intensity and rebounding dominance. With the added rest from the first-round bye, the Patriots will look to control tempo and leverage their defensive advantage.

Saint Bonaventure Bonnies vs George Mason Patriots Pick

Saint Bonaventure Bonnies vs George Mason Patriots Spread Pick

  • Pick: George Mason Patriots -3.5

George Mason enters this matchup with the rest advantage and has already proven capable of controlling Saint Bonaventure earlier this season. The Patriots have been one of the better defensive teams in the Atlantic 10, and their rebounding ability could limit second-chance opportunities for the Bonnies. While Saint Bonaventure is coming off an explosive offensive performance, the combination of fatigue and George Mason’s defensive discipline gives the Patriots the edge.

Saint Bonaventure Bonnies vs George Mason Patriots Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 143.5

I like the over in this matchup because Saint Bonaventure showed its scoring ability with a 99-point performance in the first round, and George Mason just put up 86 points in its most recent game. If the Bonnies push the pace again and the Patriots continue their efficient offensive play, this game has the potential to turn into a higher-scoring contest than the number suggests.

Final Score Prediction: George Mason 76, Saint Bonaventure 72

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