Saint Joseph Hawks vs VCU Rams Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 14 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/14/2026, 02:20 AM ET
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The Saint Joseph's Hawks face the VCU Rams in the Atlantic 10 Championship Semifinal on Saturday, March 14, 2026, at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET with television coverage on CBSSN. According to DraftKings, VCU is favored by -6.5 with the total set at 146.5, while Saint Joseph’s is +200 on the moneyline and VCU is -245. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily betting insights and predictions.

Hawks Enter Semifinal on Strong Winning Streak

The Saint Joseph’s Hawks enter the Atlantic 10 Tournament semifinal with a 22-10 overall record and a 13-5 conference record. Saint Joseph’s advanced to this round after recently winning over Davidson 70-58 in the quarterfinal. The Hawks have been in excellent form recently, recently winning over Davidson twice, La Salle, Rhode Island, and George Mason in their last five games.

Saint Joseph’s has averaged 73.7 points per game while allowing 69.7 points per game this season. The Hawks shoot 43% from the field and average 38.9 rebounds and 15.6 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 4.9 blocks and 5.5 steals per game, showing strong defensive activity and rebounding presence throughout the season.

In their quarterfinal victory over Davidson, Saint Joseph’s received a strong performance from Jaiden Glover-Toscano, who led the Hawks with 19 points while converting all six of his free throw attempts. On the boards, Austin Williford led the Hawks with 10 rebounds, helping Saint Joseph’s control the glass and limit Davidson’s second-chance opportunities. The Hawks also shot 85% from the free throw line, demonstrating the kind of efficiency that becomes critical in tournament play.

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Rams Bring Defensive Pressure Into Semifinal

The VCU Rams enter the semifinal with a 25-7 overall record and a 15-3 conference record, making them one of the most consistent teams in the Atlantic 10 this season. VCU advanced to this round after recently winning over Duquesne 71-66 in the quarterfinal. The Rams have recently won over Duquesne, Dayton, George Mason, and Fordham while recently losing to Saint Louis in their last five games.

VCU has averaged 82.4 points per game while allowing 72.0 points per game this season. The Rams shoot 46% from the field and average 36.9 rebounds and 14.2 assists per game. Defensively they contribute 4.4 blocks and 7.4 steals per game, showing an aggressive defensive approach that frequently creates turnovers and transition scoring opportunities.

In their quarterfinal win over Duquesne, VCU leaned heavily on Terrence Hill Jr., who led the Rams with 20 points while also contributing six assists to help orchestrate the offense. On the glass, Michael Belle led VCU with seven rebounds, providing important interior presence in a competitive matchup. VCU also shot 44% from three-point range in that game, highlighting their ability to stretch the floor and create scoring runs.

Saint Joseph’s vs VCU Pick

Saint Joseph’s vs VCU Spread Pick

  • Pick: VCU -6.5

VCU enters this matchup with the stronger defensive pressure and a higher scoring offense compared to Saint Joseph’s. While the Hawks have been playing well recently, the Rams’ ability to force turnovers and generate transition opportunities should allow them to create separation during key stretches of the game. With VCU’s depth and defensive intensity, the Rams are in a good position to cover the spread.

Saint Joseph’s vs VCU Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 146.5

I like the over in this matchup because both teams have shown the ability to score efficiently when their offenses are flowing. VCU averages over 82 points per game and plays with a pace that creates additional possessions, while Saint Joseph’s has been efficient at the free throw line and capable of scoring when their perimeter shots fall. With both teams capable of pushing the tempo at times, I expect this game to reach the high 70s on both sides.

Final Score Prediction: VCU 79, Saint Joseph’s 72

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