Saint Joseph's Hawks vs California Golden Bears Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 22 2026
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The Saint Joseph’s Hawks and California Golden Bears meet in the NIT – 2nd Round at Haas Pavilion in Berkeley, California, on Sunday, March 22, 2026, at 9:00 PM ET, with the game airing on ESPNU. California enters this matchup as a 5.5-point favorite, with the total set at 149.5. This matchup features a Saint Joseph’s team that thrives on rebounding and defensive structure against a California squad that has been dominant at home and efficient offensively. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert tournament insights.
Saint Joseph’s Hawks: Defense and Rebounding as the Foundation
Saint Joseph’s enters this matchup with a 23-11 overall record and a strong 14-6 mark in A-10 play, along with a 7-7 road record. In NIT action, the Hawks advanced with a 69-64 win over Colorado State. Looking at recent form, Saint Joseph’s has recently won over Colorado State, recently lost to VCU, recently won over Davidson, recently won over La Salle, and recently won over Davidson again. This stretch highlights a team that has been competitive and capable of controlling games when they execute defensively.
From a statistical standpoint, Saint Joseph’s averages 73.2 points per game while allowing 69.7, showing a team that relies more on defense and efficiency than high-scoring output. They shoot 43% from the field and average 38.9 rebounds and 15.5 assists per game. Defensively, they contribute 5.6 steals and 4.8 blocks per contest, indicating a team that protects the rim and competes well on the glass. Their rebounding advantage is a key strength that often allows them to stay competitive in tight games.
In their first-round victory, Saint Joseph’s leaned heavily on defensive execution and rebounding. Derek Simpson led the team with 13 points and also grabbed 9 rebounds, leading in both categories. The Hawks shot just 40% from the field but held Colorado State to 36% shooting and controlled the boards 41-36. Their ability to win despite inefficient shooting highlights their defensive discipline. However, they committed 14 turnovers, which could be problematic against a California team that can capitalize on mistakes.
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California Golden Bears: Home Dominance and Offensive Efficiency
California enters this matchup with a 22-11 overall record and a 9-10 mark in ACC play, but they have been extremely strong at home with a 17-4 record. In NIT action, the Golden Bears advanced with a 91-73 win over UIC. Over their last five games, California has recently won over UIC, recently lost to Florida State, recently lost to Wake Forest, recently won over Georgia Tech, and recently lost to Pittsburgh. While they have had some inconsistency, their home performances have been a major strength.
Statistically, California averages 78.3 points per game while allowing 73.2, reflecting a team that leans slightly toward offense. They shoot 45% from the field and average 34.5 rebounds and 13.9 assists per game. Defensively, they contribute 6.0 steals and 3.0 blocks per contest. While not dominant defensively, their offensive efficiency often allows them to outscore opponents, especially at home.
In their opening-round win, California showcased elite shooting efficiency. Chris Bell led the team with 31 points, while Milos Ilic grabbed 7 rebounds to lead on the glass. The Golden Bears shot an impressive 56% from the field and 54% from three-point range, overwhelming their opponent offensively. They also went a perfect 12-for-12 from the free-throw line, demonstrating strong execution. If California can replicate even a portion of that shooting efficiency, they will be difficult to beat, particularly in front of their home crowd.
Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs California Golden Bears Pick
Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs California Golden Bears Spread Pick
- Pick: California -5.5
California’s offensive efficiency and home-court advantage give them the edge in this matchup. While Saint Joseph’s is strong defensively and can control the boards, their offensive limitations could make it difficult to keep pace. California’s ability to score efficiently and capitalize on opportunities should allow them to build a lead. I expect the Golden Bears to cover the spread.
Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs California Golden Bears Total Pick
- Pick: Under 149.5
I like the under in this matchup because Saint Joseph’s tends to slow the pace and rely on defense. While California can score, Saint Joseph’s defensive approach should limit possessions and scoring opportunities. I expect a more controlled game, which should keep the total under the number.
Final Score Prediction: California 74, Saint Joseph’s 66
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