Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs New Mexico Lobos Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 24 2026
Use Code PPWC
The Saint Joseph’s Hawks and New Mexico Lobos square off in the NIT Quarterfinal at The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico, on Tuesday, March 24, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on ESPN2. New Mexico enters this matchup as a 10.5-point favorite with a total set at 152.5, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. With a semifinal berth on the line, this game features a contrast in styles between a gritty Saint Joseph’s squad and a high-powered New Mexico offense. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more insights and daily betting angles.
Hawks Leaning on Grit and Balance
Saint Joseph’s comes into this matchup with a 24-11 overall record and an 8-7 mark on the road. The Hawks competed in the Atlantic 10, finishing with a solid conference showing before making their NIT run. In tournament play, they have advanced with a narrow victory, recently won over California 76-75. Over their last five games, Saint Joseph’s has recently won over California, recently won over Colorado State, recently lost to VCU, recently won over Davidson, and recently won over La Salle. Their ability to grind out close wins has been a defining trait during this stretch.
From a statistical standpoint, Saint Joseph’s plays a balanced brand of basketball. The Hawks average 73.3 points per game while allowing 69.9 points per contest. They shoot 43% from the field and pull down 39.0 rebounds per game, while also distributing 15.5 assists per contest. Defensively, they contribute 4.7 blocks and 5.5 steals per game, showing versatility on that end of the floor. Their ability to protect the rim and create second-chance opportunities keeps them competitive even when their offense isn’t firing at full capacity.
A key tournament angle for Saint Joseph’s is their ability to control the glass and execute in tight moments. In their win over California, Jaiden Glover-Toscano led the way with 24 points, while Dasear Haskins dominated inside with 11 rebounds. The Hawks outrebounded California 45-39 and shot 44% from the field, which helped them overcome a halftime deficit. Their composure late in games and rebounding edge will be critical factors if they hope to stay within striking distance against a high-scoring New Mexico team.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Lobos Thriving in the Pit
New Mexico enters the contest with a 25-10 overall record and a dominant 16-3 mark at home. The Lobos have been one of the most dangerous teams in the NIT, using their offensive firepower and home-court advantage to great effect. In their last five games, New Mexico has recently won over George Washington, recently won over Sam Houston State, recently lost to San Diego State, recently won over San Jose State, and recently lost to Utah State. Their most recent performance, an 86-61 win over George Washington, showcased their ability to control both ends of the floor.
Statistically, New Mexico is one of the more explosive teams remaining in the tournament. The Lobos average 81.5 points per game while allowing 70.9 points per contest. They shoot 46% from the field and average 36.8 rebounds per game, while also contributing 15.2 assists per contest. Defensively, they generate 8.1 steals per game, which often leads to transition scoring opportunities. Their combination of scoring efficiency and defensive pressure makes them a difficult matchup, particularly at home.
The key tournament-specific angle for New Mexico is their offensive efficiency and depth, especially at The Pit. In their win over George Washington, Jake Hall led the team with 19 points on efficient shooting, while Tomislav Buljan contributed 9 rebounds and helped control the interior. The Lobos shot 48% from the field and 41% from three-point range while also winning the rebounding battle 45-36. Their ability to score efficiently while forcing turnovers gives them a clear edge, particularly against a team that prefers a slower, more methodical pace.
New Mexico vs Saint Joseph Pick
New Mexico vs Saint Joseph Spread Pick
- Pick: New Mexico Lobos -10.5
New Mexico’s dominance at home cannot be ignored, especially with a 16-3 record at The Pit. The Lobos have consistently played at a higher offensive level than Saint Joseph’s, and their ability to generate points in transition could create separation early. While the Hawks are capable of keeping games close, this matchup feels like a step up in competition, particularly in a tough road environment. New Mexico’s scoring depth and defensive pressure should allow them to cover the number.
New Mexico vs Saint Joseph Total Pick
- Pick: Under 152.5
I like the under in this game because Saint Joseph’s tends to play at a more controlled pace and relies on defense and rebounding to stay competitive. While New Mexico is capable of scoring in bunches, the Hawks’ ability to limit possessions and contest shots should slow the tempo enough to keep this game below the total. If Saint Joseph’s can dictate the pace even slightly, this total feels a bit inflated.
Final Score Prediction: New Mexico Lobos 78, Saint Joseph’s Hawks 68
Betting on College Basketball?
- Join Picks and Parlays premium for free and get a free $30 coupon with code FREE30
- Get started and wager on college hoops today with our favorite online sportsbooks
- Claim a CBB betting bonus offer with the best sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $200 in Bonuses Instantly!
